UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza
31.6%
68.4%
+285
-320
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves
19.0%
81.0%
+290
-350
+320
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt
67.3%
32.7%
-165
+155
-180
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira
49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva
50.5%
49.5%
+105
-115
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee
20.3%
79.7%
+370
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell
84.7%
15.3%
-450
+390
-530
+425
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski
39.2%
60.8%
+330
-400
+340
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell
39.8%
60.2%
+117
-133
+125
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam
32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen
38.9%
61.1%
+170
-195
+170
-175
Volatility Bet Value Active
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad
49.2%
50.8%
-108
-106
-105
-110
Fights for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Leon Edwards
Kamaru Usman
29.0%
71.0%
+225
-255
+240
-265
Win
Loss
-1.20434-1.24372-1.23915
Justin Gaethje
Rafael Fiziev
31.2%
68.8%
+225
-255
+240
-245
Win
Loss
-1.20434-1.22803-1.16408
Bryan Barberena
Gunnar Nelson
27.6%
72.4%
+315
-360
+330
-370
Loss
Win
-0.26842-0.25884-0.32321
Jennifer Maia
Casey O'Neill
39.7%
60.3%
+155
-175
+175
-175
Win
Loss
-0.96420-1.01159-0.92276
Roman Dolidze
Marvin Vettori
19.6%
80.4%
+220
-255
+220
-240
Loss
Win
-0.36120-0.36652-0.21755
Makwan Amirkhani
Jack Shore
22.7%
77.3%
+485
-575
+505
-550
Loss
Win
-0.18288-0.17843-0.25728
Omar Morales
Chris Duncan
53.8%
46.2%
-110
-105
-105
-105
Loss
Win
-0.70441-0.69315-0.77306
Yanal Ashmouz
Sam Patterson
34.8%
65.2%
+230
-260
+240
-280
Win
Loss
-1.21885-1.25425-1.05696
Jafel Filho
Muhammad Mokaev
12.7%
87.3%
+650
-925
+735
-900
Loss
Win
-0.13780-0.12493-0.13553
Gabriel Santos
Lerone Murphy
36.9%
63.1%
+184
-180
+180
-185
Loss
Win
-0.43679-0.43838-0.46115
Dusko Todorovic
Christian Duncan
41.7%
58.3%
+230
-240
+240
-260
Loss
Win
-0.35718-0.34163-0.54024
Malcolm Gordon
Jake Hadley
29.8%
70.2%
+400
-470
+400
-450
Loss
Win
-0.21717-0.21869-0.35411
Luana Carolina
Joanne Calderwood
47.9%
52.1%
+155
-175
+165
-180
Loss
Win
-0.48012-0.46185-0.65137
Jai Herbert
Ludovit Klein
44.2%
55.8%
+178
-205
+190
-200
Draw
Draw
-0.74122-0.74652-0.70003
Jaqualine Amorim
Veronica Macedo
65.2%
34.8%
-400
+325
-420
+375
Loss
Win
-1.48162-1.57620-1.05509
Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan
35.5%
64.5%
+215
-250
+225
-235
Win
Loss
-1.17866-1.18780-1.03620
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.