UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Yan Xiaonan
Mackenzie Dern		38.8%
61.2%
+226
-266
+235
-260
Win
Loss		-1.21470-1.22946-0.94629
Francisco Trinaldo
Randy Brown		28.0%
72.0%
+300
-340
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28030-0.29670-0.32805
Trevin Jones
Raoni Barcelos		25.5%
74.5%
+225
-250
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35820-0.37138-0.29417
Don Shainis
Sodiq Yusuff		9.6%
90.4%
+800
-910
+700
-1000
Loss
Win		-0.11629-0.12883-0.10118
Viacheslav Borshchev
Mike Davis		38.7%
61.3%
+161
-186
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46318-0.46561-0.48991
Daniel Santos
John Castaneda		43.8%
56.2%
+167
-190
+175
-185
Win
Loss		-1.01134-1.02427-0.82595
Aleksei Oleinik
Ilir Latifi		42.1%
57.9%
+180
-210
+175
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42344-0.43532-0.54602
Jesse Ronson
Joaquim Silva		39.8%
60.2%
+120
-130
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59012-0.58016-0.50830
Krzysztof Jotko
Brendan Allen		57.5%
42.5%
-105
-101
-115
+110
Loss
Win		-0.70275-0.75294-0.85534
Julija Stoliarenko
Chelsea Chandler		53.0%
47.0%
-130
+113
-130
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79023-0.78250-0.75572
Guido Cannetti
Randy Costa		31.7%
68.3%
+250
-300
+250
-270
Win
Loss		-1.28786-1.26808-1.15037
Song Yadong
Cory Sandhagen		34.2%
65.8%
+185
-206
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.41951-0.44830-0.41800
Gregory Rodrigues
Chidi Njokuani		51.2%
48.8%
+110
-128
+115
-135
Win
Loss		-0.77884-0.80428-0.66845
Andre Fili
Bill Algeo		55.9%
44.1%
-130
+115
-130
+110
Win
Loss		-0.60042-0.61112-0.58166
Alen Amedovski
Joe Pyfer		42.0%
58.0%
+450
-570
+450
-500
Loss
Win		-0.19368-0.19737-0.54552
Rodrigo Nascimento
Tanner Boser		41.4%
58.6%
+150
-170
+150
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.93869-0.88133
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.