UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Marc-Andre Barriault
Anthony Hernandez		36.7%
63.3%
+185
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.41146-0.45714
Damon Jackson
Patrick Sabatini		46.0%
54.0%
+184
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss		-1.06242-1.03586-0.77633
Trevin Giles
Louis Cosce		64.1%
35.9%
-202
+175
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.43416-0.42898-0.44549
Denise Gomes
Loma Lookboonmee		37.9%
62.1%
+190
-210
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.42286-0.47589
Daniel Zellhuber
Trey Ogden		60.8%
39.2%
-420
+370
-360
+375
Loss
Win		-1.56782-1.55126-0.93716
Gillian Robertson
Mariya Agapova		47.8%
52.2%
-145
+135
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.54173-0.56639-0.73760
Tony Gravely
Javid Basharat		46.8%
53.2%
+141
-161
+160
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51442-0.49027-0.63162
Cameron VanCamp
Nikolas Motta		28.5%
71.5%
+127
-132
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57338-0.56352-0.33542
Tony Ferguson
Nate Diaz		42.9%
57.1%
-140
+140
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.87546-0.88394-0.56042
Kevin Holland
Khamzat Chimaev		29.8%
70.2%
+455
-560
+500
-525
Loss
Win		-0.19257-0.18101-0.35327
Jingliang Li
Daniel Rodriguez		56.8%
43.2%
+150
-173
+155
-170
Loss
Win		-0.48933-0.48418-0.83843
Macy Chiasson
Irene Aldana		43.1%
56.9%
+152
-177
+165
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48306-0.46561-0.56424
Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba		46.6%
53.4%
+158
-183
+175
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98144-1.01807-0.76404
Julian Erosa
Hakeem Dawodu		30.7%
69.3%
+185
-210
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.07523-1.08672-1.18035
Anton Turkalj
Jailton Almeida		15.4%
84.6%
+500
-640
+500
-635
Loss
Win		-0.17624-0.17640-0.16779
Denis Tiuliulin
Jamie Pickett		37.8%
62.2%
+110
-117
+115
-130
Win
Loss		-0.75717-0.79536-0.97408
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.