UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185
+155
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%

+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chris Barnett
Jake Collier		26.2%
73.8%
+415
-495
+400
-450
Win
Loss		-1.66479-1.62745-1.34059
Danyelle Wolf
Norma Dumont		20.1%
79.9%
+310
-400
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26610-0.23362-0.22454
Heili Alateng
Chad Anheliger		58.3%
41.7%
-170
+165
-165
+145
Win
Loss		-0.46959-0.50411-0.54019
Elise Reed
Mellisa Martinez		46.3%
53.7%
+150
-160
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.93156-0.95078-0.77096
Darian Weeks
Yohan Lainesse		52.8%
47.2%
-115
+100
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.72743-0.74028-0.75124
Tai Tuivasa
Ciryl Gane		19.3%
80.7%
+395
-500
+450
-495
Loss
Win		-0.21706-0.19766-0.21479
Marvin Vettori
Robert Whittaker		43.1%
56.9%
+178
-195
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43448-0.42344-0.56317
Joaquin Buckley
Nassourdine Imavov		25.0%
75.0%
+215
-250
+220
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.37469-0.28734
Roman Kopylov
Alessio Di Chirico		42.3%
57.7%
-115
+100
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.65817-0.86114
Jarno Errens
William Gomis		38.5%
61.5%
+200
-220
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39531-0.38472-0.48552
Nathaniel Wood
Charles Jourdain		53.3%
46.7%
+135
-141
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.86496-0.85085-0.62974
Dustin Stoltzfus
Abus Magomedov		28.1%
71.9%
+260
-300
+265
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.31614-0.32975
John Makdessi
Nasrat Haqparast		28.0%
72.0%
+230
-250
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.35955-0.32882
Fares Ziam
Michal Figlak		34.6%
65.4%
+183
-213
+193
-210
Win
Loss		-1.07359-1.09354-1.06152
Gabriel Miranda
Benoit Saint Denis		34.3%
65.7%
+280
-340
+270
-300
Loss
Win		-0.29308-0.30775-0.42006
Cristian Quinonez
Khalid Taha		45.6%
54.4%
+104
-115
+112
-120
Win
Loss		-0.73771-0.76841-0.78546
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.