UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185
+160
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%

+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ailin Perez
Stephanie Egger		38.7%
61.3%
+222
-260
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.35768-0.37449-0.49012
Leon Edwards
Kamaru Usman		29.0%
71.0%
+307
-355
+320
-340
Win
Loss		-1.42924-1.44583-1.23915
Luke Rockhold
Paulo Costa		21.1%
78.9%
+285
-350
+310
-315
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27864-0.23680
Merab Dvalishvili
Jose Aldo		59.4%
40.6%
-145
+145
-145
+140
Win
Loss		-0.52452-0.53299-0.52121
Wu Yanan
Lucie Pudilova		40.9%
59.1%
+130
-125
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.57807-0.54173-0.52550
Harry Hunsucker
Tyson Pedro		15.4%
84.6%
+551
-800
+550
-740
Loss
Win		-0.15941-0.16097-0.16779
Marcin Tybura
Alexandr Romanov		21.2%
78.8%
+300
-315
+285
-325
Win
Loss		-1.39529-1.37223-1.55282
Leonardo Santos
Jared Gordon		31.7%
68.3%
+225
-265
+245
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35332-0.33743-0.38180
Luis Saldana
Sean Woodson		28.6%
71.4%
+315
-355
+330
-350
Draw
Draw		-0.85661-0.86525-0.79393
Ange Loosa
AJ Fletcher		38.9%
61.1%
+143
-163
+145
-160
Win
Loss		-0.91872-0.91937-0.94325
Francisco Figueiredo
Amir Albazi		35.8%
64.2%
+410
-495
+400
-470
Loss
Win		-0.21164-0.21717-0.44304
Jay Perrin
Aori Qileng		42.6%
57.4%
+115
-135
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59314-0.60042-0.55436
Daniel Da Silva
Victor Altamirano		39.4%
60.6%
+143
-154
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51805-0.51371-0.50030
Dominick Cruz
Marlon Vera		38.5%
61.5%
+180
-200
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.42898-0.40323-0.48578
Nate Landwehr
David Onama		34.3%
65.7%
+300
-345
+310
-345
Win
Loss		-1.41124-1.43000-1.07105
Iasmin Lucindo
Yazmin Jauregui		37.8%
62.2%
+190
-220
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40651-0.42286-0.47408
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.