UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza 		31.6%
68.4%
+285
-320
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves 		19.0%
81.0%
+285
-350
+300
-310
Volatility Bet Value Active
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt 		67.3%
32.7%
-165
+160
-180
+160
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira 		49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva 		50.5%
49.5%
+105
-115
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee 		20.3%
79.7%
+350
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell 		84.7%
15.3%
-450
+375
-500
+415
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski 		39.2%
60.8%
+330
-400
+340
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell 		39.8%
60.2%
+117
-133
+120
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam 		32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+255
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen 		38.9%
61.1%
+160
-175
+170
-175
Volatility Bet Value Active
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad 		49.2%
50.8%
-108
-106
-105
-110
Fights for Jun 5, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Josh Emmett
Yair Rodriguez		32.6%
67.4%
+158
-177
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.47411-0.46262-0.39506
Randy Brown
Jack Della Maddalena		30.1%
69.9%
+270
-325
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.30265-0.29008-0.35796
Justin Tafa
Parker Porter		60.3%
39.7%
-115
+108
-110
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64124-0.65817-0.50650
Alonzo Menifield
Jimmy Crute		42.7%
57.3%
+155
-165
+150
-165
Draw
Draw		-0.71963-0.71743-0.70398
Modestas Bukauskas
Tyson Pedro		36.9%
63.1%
+195
-215
+192
-210
Win
Loss		-1.10310-1.09127-0.99620
Josh Culibao
Melsik Baghdasaryan		47.4%
52.6%
+104
-105
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.71533-0.68116-0.74729
Shannon Ross
Kleydson Rodrigues		28.7%
71.3%
+295
-345
+330
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28258-0.26311-0.33827
Francisco Prado
Jamie Mullarkey		33.6%
66.4%
+225
-260
+250
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35489-0.33332-0.40920
Don Shainis
Jack Jenkins		24.5%
75.5%
+365
-450
+375
-430
Loss
Win		-0.23336-0.23071-0.28165
Elise Reed
Loma Lookboonmee		35.5%
64.5%
+290
-340
+320
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28655-0.27571-0.43920
Shane Young
Blake Bilder		53.4%
46.6%
-148
+130
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.86398-0.88394-0.76336
Elves Brenner
Zubaira Tukhugov		27.9%
72.1%
+470
-625
+500
-540
Win
Loss		-1.77727-1.80211-1.27679
Derrick Lewis
Serghei Spivac		38.2%
61.8%
+240
-265
+255
-275
Loss
Win		-0.34011-0.32507-0.48125
Devin Clark
Da-Un Jung		45.2%
54.8%
+235
-265
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.23320-1.21885-0.79385
Blagoy Ivanov
Marcin Tybura		43.0%
57.0%
+135
-145
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.56352-0.56291
Kyle Nelson
Dooho Choi		43.6%
56.4%
+175
-190
+175
-185
Draw
Draw		-0.73586-0.73454-0.70139
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.