UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185
+160
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%

+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Devin Clark
Azamat Murzakanov		40.8%
59.2%
+127
-145
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.55638-0.53604-0.52487
Priscila Cachoeira
Ariane Lipski		42.6%
57.4%
+185
-220
+185
-200
Win
Loss		-1.08498-1.06470-0.85390
Gerald Meerschaert
Bruno Silva		30.7%
69.3%
+265
-310
+250
-290
Win
Loss		-1.32437-1.28165-1.17941
Angela Hill
Loopy Godinez		37.9%
62.1%
+300
-360
+300
-345
Win
Loss		-1.41840-1.41124-0.97083
Lukasz Brzeski
Martin Buday		25.0%
75.0%
+275
-315
+255
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30109-0.31888-0.28734
Nina Nunes
Cynthia Calvillo		45.3%
54.7%
+155
-180
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-0.97051-1.04185-0.79136
Charlie Ontiveros
Gabriel Benitez		21.9%
78.1%
+300
-365
+330
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27649-0.26311-0.24745
Tyson Nam
Ode Osbourne		34.7%
65.3%
+350
-375
+375
-400
Win
Loss		-1.51572-1.56858-1.05860
Jason Witt
Josh Quinlan		38.1%
61.9%
+250
-290
+250
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32768-0.47915
Da'Mon Blackshear
Youssef Zalal		42.8%
57.2%
+113
-130
+120
-125
Draw
Draw		-0.69745-0.69817-0.70350
Thiago Santos
Jamahal Hill		33.5%
66.5%
+285
-315
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29430-0.29335-0.40863
Geoff Neal
Vicente Luque		41.5%
58.5%
+180
-190
+180
-188
Win
Loss		-1.04185-1.03950-0.87912
Augusto Sakai
Serghei Spivac		31.4%
68.6%
+280
-305
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29969-0.28198-0.37699
Erick Gonzalez
Terrance McKinney		11.9%
88.1%
+700
-760
+650
-900
Loss
Win		-0.13230-0.13815-0.12692
Sam Alvey
Michal Oleksiejczuk		25.4%
74.6%
+507
-600
+500
-650
Loss
Win		-0.17579-0.17589-0.29338
Takashi Sato
Bryan Battle		38.7%
61.3%
+259
-300
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.31583-0.28198-0.48986
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.