UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185
+160
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%

+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Miranda Granger
Cory McKenna		35.7%
64.3%
+169
-194
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44685-0.45144-0.44183
Mayra Bueno Silva
Stephanie Egger		51.5%
48.5%
+105
-118
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.74651-0.78592-0.66361
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes		25.6%
74.4%
+230
-250
+215
-220
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.37964-0.29582
Kai Kara-France
Brandon Moreno		39.5%
60.5%
+175
-200
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.43532-0.40573-0.50302
Sergei Pavlovich
Derrick Lewis		46.8%
53.2%
-140
+155
-155
+140
Win
Loss		-0.51418-0.52206-0.75835
Alex Perez
Alexandre Pantoja		48.8%
51.2%
+170
-185
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.45144-0.42898-0.66939
Anthony Smith
Magomed Ankalaev		24.9%
75.1%
+455
-550
+500
-600
Loss
Win		-0.19305-0.17768-0.28582
Alex Morono
Matthew Semelsberger		47.4%
52.6%
+165
-157
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-0.96273-0.97625-0.74577
Rafael Alves
Drew Dober		29.1%
70.9%
+160
-158
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.48739-0.51371-0.34321
Don'Tale Mayes
Hamdy Abdelwahab		66.3%
33.7%
-185
+195
-200
+185
Loss
Win		-1.06985-1.06470-1.08687
Rafa Garcia
Drakkar Klose		39.4%
60.6%
+178
-200
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.43149-0.46185-0.50109
Adam Fugitt
Michael Morales		19.2%
80.8%
+550
-600
+500
-650
Loss
Win		-0.16509-0.17589-0.21264
Joselyne Edwards
Ji Yeon Kim		50.6%
49.4%
-118
+104
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.64481-0.60825-0.68175
Nicolae Negumereanu
Ihor Potieria		53.7%
46.3%
-120
+118
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.61031-0.58291-0.62092
Blood Diamond
Orion Cosce		42.6%
57.4%
+180
-180
+182
-210
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.42098-0.55436
Tom Aspinall
Curtis Blaydes		50.8%
49.2%
-155
+137
-160
+150
Loss
Win		-0.89223-0.93156-0.70836
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.