UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185
+160
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%

+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chris Curtis
Jack Hermansson		47.2%
52.8%
-108
-110
+105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68876-0.66904-0.63847
Jordan Leavitt
Paddy Pimblett		42.6%
57.4%
+250
-290
+250
-285
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32640-0.55436
Alexander Gustafsson
Nikita Krylov		40.1%
59.9%
+170
-188
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44940-0.45144-0.51289
Hannah Goldy
Molly McCann		28.1%
71.9%
+425
-500
+455
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20586-0.19305-0.32956
Volkan Oezdemir
Paul Craig		61.3%
38.7%
-145
+130
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.55080-0.54782-0.49011
Ludovit Klein
Mason Jones		29.1%
70.9%
+375
-430
+400
-420
Win
Loss		-1.57973-1.61712-1.23405
Damir Hadzovic
Marc Diakiese		33.3%
66.7%
+350
-430
+375
-440
Loss
Win		-0.24208-0.22983-0.40435
Charles Rosa
Nathaniel Wood		11.3%
88.7%
+450
-550
+500
-570
Loss
Win		-0.19464-0.17891-0.12005
Makwan Amirkhani
Jonathan Pearce		32.1%
67.9%
+125
-140
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.56352-0.38687
Charles Johnson
Muhammad Mokaev		21.4%
78.6%
+375
-420
+375
-450
Loss
Win		-0.23163-0.22897-0.24101
Kyle Nelson
Jai Herbert		28.8%
71.2%
+240
-278
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33641-0.34163-0.33980
Victoria Leonardo
Mandy Bohm		45.1%
54.9%
+105
-110
+110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.72940-0.73027-0.79580
Claudio Silva
Nicolas Dalby		30.7%
69.3%
+177
-207
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42880-0.41690-0.36668
Yair Rodriguez
Brian Ortega		43.8%
56.2%
+170
-190
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-1.01846-1.01255-0.82595
Michelle Waterson
Amanda Lemos		23.8%
76.2%
+265
-300
+270
-290
Loss
Win		-0.31137-0.31004-0.27204
Jingliang Li
Muslim Salikhov		43.4%
56.6%
+135
-147
+145
-150
Win
Loss		-0.87488-0.90421-0.83441
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.