UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza 		31.6%
68.4%
+285
-320
+290
-320
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves 		19.0%
81.0%
+255
-265
+270
-280
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt 		67.3%
32.7%
-170
+155
-170
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira 		49.7%
50.3%
-125
+107
-120
+110
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva 		50.5%
49.5%
+105
-117
+105
-115
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee 		20.3%
79.7%
+340
-410
+335
-370
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell 		84.7%
15.3%
-450
+375
-450
+400
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski 		39.2%
60.8%
+310
-410
+350
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell 		39.8%
60.2%
+105
-117
+115
-120
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam 		32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+260
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen 		38.9%
61.1%
+155
-175
+155
-170
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad 		49.2%
50.8%
-108
-106
-105
-105
Fights for Jun 5, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mark Madsen
Grant Dawson		25.6%
74.4%
+190
-210
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.41690-0.29604
Shanna Young
Miranda Maverick		26.5%
73.5%
+725
-900
+695
-800
Loss
Win		-0.12635-0.13235-0.30752
Benito Lopez
Mario Bautista		27.7%
72.3%
+358
-415
+345
-400
Loss
Win		-0.23977-0.24756-0.32501
Jinh Yu Frey
Polyana Viana		49.6%
50.4%
+125
-139
+125
-145
Loss
Win		-0.56768-0.56016-0.68524
Liudvik Sholinian
Johnny Munoz		34.5%
65.5%
+230
-265
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34881-0.35037-0.42350
Carlos Candelario
Jake Hadley		38.3%
61.7%
+235
-270
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35037-0.48358
Ramona Pascual
Ravena Oliveira		40.7%
59.3%
+100
-105
+100
-120
Loss
Win		-0.68116-0.65059-0.52190
Calvin Kattar
Arnold Allen		59.0%
41.0%
+111
-115
+120
-115
Loss
Win		-0.63448-0.61509-0.89150
Tim Means
Max Griffin		39.3%
60.7%
+160
-185
+155
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46533-0.48012-0.49982
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Jared Vanderaa		59.9%
40.1%
-200
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.42286-0.41110-0.51301
Tresean Gore
Josh Fremd		41.1%
58.9%
+140
-150
+148
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.91925-0.88926
Dustin Jacoby
Khalil Rountree Jr.		61.5%
38.5%
-170
+160
-170
+155
Loss
Win		-0.96964-0.95763-0.95337
Roman Dolidze
Phillip Hawes		42.1%
57.9%
+163
-170
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.97678-0.94358-0.86403
Andrei Arlovski
Marcos Rogerio de Lima		40.9%
59.1%
+210
-238
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.37714-0.35955-0.52528
Joseph Holmes
Junyong Park		40.2%
59.8%
+190
-206
+195
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41358-0.41110-0.51462
Chase Hooper
Steve Garcia		71.8%
28.2%
-305
+274
-300
+265
Loss
Win		-1.33933-1.31841-1.26723
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.