UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cameron VanCamp
Andre Fialho		26.9%
73.1%
+445
-450
+440
-500
Loss
Win		-0.20234-0.20067-0.31326
Melissa Gatto
Tracy Cortez		37.4%
62.6%
+120
-115
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.61509-0.64814-0.46781
Loopy Godinez
Ariane Carnelossi		52.0%
48.0%
-170
+160
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.47678-0.47276-0.65325
Journey Newson
Fernie Garcia		35.7%
64.3%
+107
-115
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.74537-0.77319-1.03106
Marlon Vera
Rob Font		44.7%
55.3%
-112
+100
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66600-0.68116-0.80591
Jake Collier
Andrei Arlovski		45.2%
54.8%
+115
-108
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63963-0.62755-0.60084
Joanderson Brito
Andre Fili		26.0%
74.0%
+220
-240
+205
-230
Win
Loss		-1.18136-1.13968-1.34784
Jared Gordon
Grant Dawson		44.4%
55.6%
+185
-220
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.41146-0.58683
Tristan Connelly
Darren Elkins		44.8%
55.2%
+150
-170
+170
-175
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.45869-0.59401
Krzysztof Jotko
Gerald Meerschaert		72.3%
27.7%
-210
+190
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41146-0.41110-0.32374
Chase Sherman
Alexandr Romanov		13.4%
86.6%
+1200
-1700
+1100
-1800
Loss
Win		-0.07830-0.08431-0.14340
Daniel Da Silva
Francisco Figueiredo		40.3%
59.7%
-130
+114
-120
+110
Loss
Win		-0.79279-0.76336-0.51624
Gabriel Green
Yohan Lainesse		42.3%
57.7%
-116
+100
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.65805-0.67015-0.86017
Mike Breeden
Natan Levy		33.2%
66.8%
+185
-210
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.41690-0.40318
Gina Mazany
Shanna Young		58.1%
41.9%
-205
+175
-195
+183
Loss
Win		-1.04674-1.05455-0.86883
Amanda Lemos
Jessica Andrade		37.3%
62.7%
+230
-255
+235
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35197-0.35270-0.46649
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.