UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Clay Guida
Claudio Puelles
57.9%
42.1%
-105
-106
+105
-110
Loss
Win
-0.69085-0.65817-0.86515
Montana De La Rosa
Maycee Barber
39.9%
60.1%
+160
-177
+160
-175
Loss
Win
-0.47120-0.47276-0.50864
Lando Vannata
Charles Jourdain
41.5%
58.5%
-105
-110
-105
-105
Loss
Win
-0.68201-0.69315-0.53575
Marc-Andre Barriault
Jordan Wright
50.7%
49.3%
-200
+182
-178
+180
Win
Loss
-0.42652-0.44326-0.67934
Dwight Grant
Sergey Khandozhko
48.5%
51.5%
+115
-125
+113
-125
Loss
Win
-0.60825-0.61251-0.66398
Ike Villanueva
Darian Weeks
24.4%
75.6%
+600
-700
+525
-650
Loss
Win
-0.15123-0.16941-0.27983
Cameron Else
Aori Qileng
33.2%
66.8%
+191
-220
+185
-185
Loss
Win
-0.40536-0.43214-0.40318
Brandon Jenkins
Preston Parsons
45.0%
55.0%
+135
-147
+130
-140
Loss
Win
-0.53941-0.55696-0.59815
Philipe Lins
Marcin Prachnio
51.7%
48.3%
+110
-125
+110
-125
Win
Loss
-0.77319-0.77319-0.66022
Trey Ogden
Martin Buday
14.2%
85.8%
+625
-800
+650
-700
Win
Loss
-2.00746-2.02321-1.95299
Belal Muhammad
Vicente Luque
43.8%
56.2%
+170
-160
+160
-165
Win
Loss
-0.97891-0.96273-0.82526
Josh Fremd
Mike Malott
47.5%
52.5%
+107
-115
-105
-110
Win
Loss
-0.74537-0.70441-0.74440
Andre Fialho
Miguel Baeza
34.0%
66.0%
+150
-167
+155
-165
Win
Loss
-0.94143-0.95078-1.07949
Wu Yanan
Mayra Bueno Silva
29.1%
70.9%
+550
-500
+400
-500
Loss
Win
-0.16943-0.21511-0.34355
TJ Laramie
Patrick Sabatini
22.3%
77.7%
+535
-600
+475
-550
Loss
Win
-0.16867-0.18692-0.25193
Denis Tiuliulin
Mounir Lazzez
36.7%
63.3%
+182
-200
+180
-185
Loss
Win
-0.42652-0.43838-0.45703
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.