UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Devin Clark
William Knight
52.0%
48.0%
-165
+160
-165
+160
Win
Loss
-0.48102-0.48102-0.65429
Lina Lansberg
Pannie Kianzad
32.7%
67.3%
+535
-500
+430
-450
Loss
Win
-0.17309-0.20750-0.39625
Brandon Jenkins
Drakkar Klose
18.2%
81.8%
+550
-580
+450
-550
Loss
Win
-0.16583-0.19464-0.20142
Jesse Ronson
Rafa Garcia
48.9%
51.1%
-140
+140
-140
+140
Loss
Win
-0.87546-0.87546-0.67051
Chris Barnett
Martin Buday
37.8%
62.2%
+287
-335
+280
-300
Loss
Win
-0.28934-0.30075-0.47408
Trey Ogden
Jordan Leavitt
46.3%
53.7%
-145
+127
-140
+125
Loss
Win
-0.85163-0.83833-0.62096
Sam Hughes
Istela Nunes
43.7%
56.3%
+220
-215
+208
-230
Win
Loss
-1.15817-1.14633-0.82752
Kevin Croom
Heili Alateng
34.2%
65.8%
+150
-170
+160
-170
Loss
Win
-0.49182-0.47678-0.41882
Chan Sung Jung
Alexander Volkanovski
19.4%
80.6%
+450
-550
+500
-505
Loss
Win
-0.19464-0.18205-0.21572
Aljamain Sterling
Petr Yan
18.2%
81.8%
+380
-400
+335
-370
Win
Loss
-1.57692-1.48713-1.70287
Gilbert Burns
Khamzat Chimaev
28.0%
72.0%
+425
-500
+475
-535
Loss
Win
-0.20586-0.18766-0.32917
Tecia Pennington
Mackenzie Dern
54.0%
46.0%
+115
-120
+100
-110
Loss
Win
-0.61667-0.67015-0.77635
Vinc Pichel
Mark Madsen
55.1%
44.9%
-130
+120
-120
+105
Loss
Win
-0.80802-0.75056-0.80022
Darian Weeks
Ian Garry
22.3%
77.7%
+385
-400
+330
-380
Loss
Win
-0.22931-0.25755-0.25193
Josh Fremd
Anthony Hernandez
39.3%
60.7%
+160
-183
+175
-185
Loss
Win
-0.46674-0.44482-0.49979
Aspen Ladd
Raquel Pennington
40.3%
59.7%
+150
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win
-0.50566-0.52206-0.51549
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.