UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mickey Gall
Mike Malott		39.8%
60.2%
+150
-164
+168
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49707-0.47396-0.50710
Jared Vanderaa
Aleksei Oleinik		40.2%
59.8%
-128
+130
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.82908-0.87165-0.51401
Chris Daukaus
Curtis Blaydes		24.4%
75.6%
+425
-500
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.20586-0.19464-0.28032
Joanne Calderwood
Alexa Grasso		33.9%
66.1%
+240
-280
+245
-250
Loss
Win		-0.33588-0.34060-0.41464
Bryan Barberena
Matt Brown		52.6%
47.4%
-105
-102
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.68605-0.68201-0.64268
Kai Kara-France
Askar Askarov		32.6%
67.4%
+335
-420
+385
-400
Win
Loss		-1.50706-1.58514-1.12233
Max Griffin
Neil Magny		40.0%
60.0%
+225
-260
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35489-0.35037-0.51153
Sara McMann
Karol Rosa		40.2%
59.8%
+210
-240
+215
-220
Win
Loss		-1.15948-1.15236-0.91235
Chris Gutierrez
Batgerel Danaa		42.0%
58.0%
+132
-150
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.87213-0.84211-0.86693
Denis Tiuliulin
Aliaskhab Khizriev		20.6%
79.4%
+900
-1000
+700
-1000
Loss
Win		-0.10436-0.12883-0.23051
Jennifer Maia
Manon Fiorot		33.7%
66.3%
+390
-470
+380
-450
Loss
Win		-0.22115-0.22684-0.41107
Matheus Nicolau
David Dvorak		42.4%
57.6%
+110
-120
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.76336-0.72743-0.85781
Luis Saldana
Bruno Souza		64.6%
35.4%
+130
-149
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.86555-0.87165-0.43748
Tom Aspinall
Alexander Volkov		49.8%
50.2%
-120
+120
-135
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60614-0.58291-0.69796
Dan Hooker
Arnold Allen		43.7%
56.3%
+100
-110
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.67015-0.68201-0.57494
Kazula Vargas
Paddy Pimblett		32.1%
67.9%
+535
-600
+530
-700
Loss
Win		-0.16867-0.16670-0.38687
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.