UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Takashi Sato
Gunnar Nelson		25.8%
74.2%
+550
-640
+515
-500
Loss
Win		-0.16372-0.17824-0.29864
Luana Carolina
Molly McCann		45.3%
54.7%
+145
-155
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.51371-0.56639-0.60406
Jai Herbert
Ilia Topuria		15.4%
84.6%
+500
-600
+500
-600
Loss
Win		-0.17768-0.17768-0.16779
Makwan Amirkhani
Mike Grundy		46.8%
53.2%
+250
-275
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26068-0.75871
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Sergei Pavlovich		37.1%
62.9%
+300
-340
+290
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28030-0.29008-0.46397
Paul Craig
Nikita Krylov		46.8%
53.2%
+190
-210
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.08672-1.05317-0.75984
Timur Valiev
Jack Shore		60.2%
39.8%
+115
-126
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.60664-0.57304-0.92005
Elise Reed
Cory McKenna		21.6%
78.4%
+285
-335
+280
-300
Win
Loss		-1.37749-1.34807-1.53183
Cody Durden
Muhammad Mokaev		35.4%
64.6%
+425
-435
+425
-400
Loss
Win		-0.21047-0.21358-0.43748
Thiago Santos
Magomed Ankalaev		29.5%
70.5%
+650
-700
+600
-650
Loss
Win		-0.14183-0.15258-0.34942
Marlon Moraes
Song Yadong		34.0%
66.0%
+255
-280
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.32375-0.34163-0.41606
Alex Caceres
Sodiq Yusuff		23.4%
76.6%
+240
-275
+250
-265
Loss
Win		-0.33724-0.33183-0.26691
Karl Roberson
Khalil Rountree Jr.		44.4%
55.6%
-155
+139
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.89720-0.87165-0.58785
Terrance McKinney
Drew Dober		25.1%
74.9%
+143
-145
+130
-148
Loss
Win		-0.52787-0.54728-0.28911
Bruno Silva
Alex Pereira		37.8%
62.2%
+200
-220
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.39531-0.42889-0.47472
AJ Fletcher
Matthew Semelsberger		36.6%
63.4%
+180
-200
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.42898-0.44482-0.45549
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.