UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jamie Pickett
Kyle Daukaus		28.3%
71.7%
+260
-300
+255
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.31888-0.33272
Alan Baudot
Parker Porter		29.9%
70.1%
+242
-270
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33697-0.34163-0.35586
Azamat Murzakanov
Jim Miller		60.5%
39.5%
-160
+150
-165
+155
Loss
Win		-0.93156-0.95078-0.92872
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Joaquin Buckley		37.5%
62.5%
+125
-140
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.55080-0.47069
Natan Levy
Gabriel Benitez		60.6%
39.4%
-185
+170
-175
+165
Win
Loss		-0.45144-0.46561-0.50121
Stephanie Egger
Jessica-Rose Clark		41.8%
58.2%
+167
-185
+160
-175
Win
Loss		-1.00545-0.97625-0.87337
Mark Striegl
Chas Skelly		37.3%
62.7%
+183
-210
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41978-0.42898-0.46673
Gloria de Paula
Diana Belbita		52.2%
47.8%
+105
-122
+117
-130
Win
Loss		-0.75451-0.80044-0.64982
Jesse Strader
Jeremiah Wells		16.8%
83.2%
+210
-240
+205
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37637-0.38349-0.18390
Jonathan Pearce
Victor Henry		72.8%
27.2%
-400
+360
-380
+330
Win
Loss		-0.24038-0.25755-0.31811
Robert Whittaker
Israel Adesanya		18.4%
81.6%
+250
-280
+255
-275
Loss
Win		-0.32768-0.32507-0.20375
Tai Tuivasa
Derrick Lewis		40.6%
59.4%
+157
-165
+165
-175
Win
Loss		-0.95558-0.98819-0.90175
Derek Brunson
Jared Cannonier		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-154
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53171-0.52736-0.45961
Alexander Hernandez
Renato Moicano		36.6%
63.4%
+141
-155
+148
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52037-0.50886-0.45586
Nasrat Haqparast
Bobby Green		44.9%
55.1%
+140
-150
+137
-140
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.54426-0.59669
Jared Vanderaa
Andrei Arlovski		41.8%
58.2%
+135
-145
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.55080-0.54120
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.