UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roxanne Modafferi
Casey O'Neill		30.7%
69.3%
+295
-345
+330
-355
Loss
Win		-0.28258-0.26088-0.36739
Marcelo Rojo
Kyler Phillips		26.3%
73.7%
+400
-440
+375
-410
Loss
Win		-0.21950-0.23260-0.30536
Fabio Cherant
Carlos Ulberg		40.1%
59.9%
+240
-260
+225
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34163-0.35489-0.51301
Mana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence		34.3%
65.7%
+280
-300
+265
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30075-0.31137-0.42006
Jacob Malkoun
Alex Pereira		48.8%
51.2%
-107
-102
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.68152-0.68201-0.71846
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Sergey Morozov		45.4%
54.6%
+200
-215
+195
-210
Win
Loss		-1.11438-1.09808-0.78948
Ian Garry
CJ Vergara		37.8%
62.2%
+210
-225
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38251-0.37533-0.47408
William Knight
Maxim Grishin		45.7%
54.3%
+150
-170
+150
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.50078-0.61052
Jack Hermansson
Sean Strickland		40.2%
59.8%
+200
-230
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.39087-0.37533-0.51401
Nick Maximov
Punahele Soriano		28.7%
71.3%
+155
-175
+165
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96420-0.98152-1.24685
Carlston Harris
Shavkat Rakhmonov		31.0%
69.0%
+220
-255
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36120-0.35037-0.37111
Sam Alvey
Brendan Allen		28.3%
71.7%
+305
-360
+340
-365
Loss
Win		-0.27421-0.25429-0.33207
Chris Curtis
Bryan Battle		61.5%
38.5%
-128
+144
-130
+118
Loss
Win		-0.86280-0.80298-0.95550
Steven Peterson
Julian Erosa		30.6%
69.4%
+270
-305
+280
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30666-0.30075-0.36586
John Castaneda
Miles Johns		30.2%
69.8%
+145
-165
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.92644-0.95078-1.19620
Michael Trizano
Hakeem Dawodu		21.3%
78.7%
+147
-167
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49913-0.49303-0.23894
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks87-0 (0.875)0-0.42426 
Sportsbooks87-0 (0.875)0-0.41293 
DRatings86-1 (0.750)0-0.51726
-0.09299
-0.10432

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.