UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vince Morales
Louis Smolka		35.4%
64.6%
+150
-167
+165
-170
Win
Loss		-0.94143-0.98152-1.03885
Miesha Tate
Ketlen Vieira		54.8%
45.2%
-110
+100
-105
+100
Loss
Win		-0.71668-0.70528-0.79396
Michael Chiesa
Sean Brady		48.4%
51.6%
+170
-180
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.45497-0.47276-0.66171
Joanne Calderwood
Taila Santos		33.0%
67.0%
+360
-390
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.24147-0.25884-0.40010
Kyung Ho Kang
Rani Yahya		48.9%
51.1%
-120
+107
-120
+100
Loss
Win		-0.75568-0.73760-0.67233
Davey Grant
Adrian Yanez		29.4%
70.6%
+240
-265
+250
-265
Loss
Win		-0.34011-0.33183-0.34827
Tucker Lutz
Patrick Sabatini		42.6%
57.4%
-130
+115
-120
+115
Loss
Win		-0.79536-0.77596-0.55436
Rafa Garcia
Natan Levy		57.4%
42.6%
-115
+100
-110
-110
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.69315-0.55436
Loopy Godinez
Loma Lookboonmee		47.6%
52.4%
-137
+135
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.55166-0.54782-0.74188
Aori Qileng
Cody Durden		40.1%
59.9%
+145
-160
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.52736-0.51301
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan
Sean Soriano		35.4%
64.6%
+250
-285
+255
-265
Win
Loss		-1.27841-1.27465-1.03750
Sam Hughes
Luana Pinheiro		25.8%
74.2%
+300
-360
+335
-360
Loss
Win		-0.27720-0.25754-0.29806
Yair Rodriguez
Max Holloway		27.6%
72.4%
+485
-570
+500
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18309-0.17980-0.32338
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Ben Rothwell		46.3%
53.7%
+147
-165
+150
-155
Win
Loss		-0.93135-0.92410-0.76945
Leah Letson
Felicia Spencer		19.8%
80.2%
+300
-345
+290
-330
Loss
Win		-0.27950-0.28827-0.22043
Khaos Williams
Miguel Baeza		36.0%
64.0%
+140
-150
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.91198-1.02115
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.