UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+150
-168
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+295
-350
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+475
-650
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-350
+285
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
+100
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+475
-625
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tai Tuivasa
Derrick Lewis		40.6%
59.4%
+157
-165
+165
-175
Win
Loss		-0.95558-0.98819-0.90175
Derek Brunson
Jared Cannonier		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-154
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53171-0.52736-0.45961
Alexander Hernandez
Renato Moicano		36.6%
63.4%
+141
-155
+148
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52037-0.50886-0.45586
Nasrat Haqparast
Bobby Green		44.9%
55.1%
+140
-150
+137
-140
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.54426-0.59669
Jared Vanderaa
Andrei Arlovski		41.8%
58.2%
+135
-145
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.55080-0.54120
Roxanne Modafferi
Casey O'Neill		30.7%
69.3%
+295
-345
+330
-355
Loss
Win		-0.28258-0.26088-0.36739
Marcelo Rojo
Kyler Phillips		26.3%
73.7%
+400
-440
+375
-410
Loss
Win		-0.21950-0.23260-0.30536
Fabio Cherant
Carlos Ulberg		40.1%
59.9%
+240
-260
+225
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34163-0.35489-0.51301
Mana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence		34.3%
65.7%
+280
-300
+265
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30075-0.31137-0.42006
Jacob Malkoun
Alex Pereira		48.8%
51.2%
-107
-102
-110
-105
Win
Loss		-0.68152-0.68201-0.71846
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Sergey Morozov		45.4%
54.6%
+200
-215
+195
-210
Win
Loss		-1.11438-1.09808-0.78948
Ian Garry
CJ Vergara		37.8%
62.2%
+210
-225
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38251-0.37533-0.47408
William Knight
Maxim Grishin		45.7%
54.3%
+150
-170
+150
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.50078-0.61052
Jack Hermansson
Sean Strickland		40.2%
59.8%
+200
-230
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.39087-0.37533-0.51401
Nick Maximov
Punahele Soriano		28.7%
71.3%
+155
-175
+165
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96420-0.98152-1.24685
Carlston Harris
Shavkat Rakhmonov		31.0%
69.0%
+220
-255
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.36120-0.35037-0.37111
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.