UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Michel Prazeres
Shavkat Rakhmonov		39.8%
60.2%
+270
-320
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.30361-0.29670-0.50690
Ike Villanueva
Marcin Prachnio		28.3%
71.7%
+181
-211
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.42169-0.38995-0.33246
Julija Stoliarenko
Julia Avila		26.5%
73.5%
+300
-350
+305
-350
Loss
Win		-0.27871-0.27570-0.30738
Justin Jaynes
Charles Rosa		31.6%
68.4%
+145
-141
+145
-145
Loss
Win		-0.52924-0.52452-0.37974
Damir Hadzovic
Yancy Medeiros		56.5%
43.5%
-143
+125
-130
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56261-0.58016-0.57096
Chan Sung Jung
Dan Ige		54.3%
45.7%
+130
-145
+145
-150
Win
Loss		-0.85918-0.90421-0.61033
Aleksei Oleinik
Serghei Spivac		41.0%
59.0%
+235
-274
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34179-0.35037-0.52799
Davey Grant
Marlon Vera		19.2%
80.8%
+180
-209
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42398-0.41737-0.21282
Julian Erosa
SeungWoo Choi		46.8%
53.2%
+120
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.57618-0.56639-0.63106
Wellington Turman
Bruno Silva		45.8%
54.2%
+110
-124
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.62070-0.60042-0.61262
Matt Brown
Dhiego Lima		42.1%
57.9%
+175
-195
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.03595-0.99997-0.86503
Nicolae Negumereanu
Aleksa Camur		40.2%
59.8%
+210
-250
+210
-245
Win
Loss		-1.16761-1.16360-0.91247
Kanako Murata
Virna Jandiroba		34.0%
66.0%
+121
-135
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58091-0.58291-0.41579
Matthew Semelsberger
Khaos Williams		29.1%
70.9%
+145
-157
+150
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51171-0.50566-0.34414
Roque Martinez
Josh Parisian		41.3%
58.7%
+130
-150
+145
-152
Loss
Win		-0.54502-0.51683-0.53338
Rick Glenn
Joaquim Silva		44.8%
55.2%
+116
-130
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.79791-0.77319-0.80227
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.