UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		59.8%
40.2%
-300
+250
-280
+250
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		42.0%
58.0%
+225
-260
+215
-250
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-111
-105
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+120
-140
+130
-150
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+143
-163
+165
-170
Volatility Bet Value Active
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+215
-244
+205
-240
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+135
-150
+130
-150
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+125
-145
+120
-140
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dakota Bush
Austin Hubbard		40.7%
59.3%
+195
-210
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40573-0.41690-0.52194
Tony Gravely
Anthony Birchak		68.0%
32.0%
-360
+320
-360
+305
Win
Loss		-0.26562-0.27421-0.38594
Kevin Holland
Marvin Vettori		41.9%
58.1%
+260
-320
+270
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31086-0.30775-0.54233
Arnold Allen
Sodiq Yusuff		43.1%
56.9%
+133
-150
+130
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87465-0.85918-0.84223
Sam Alvey
Julian Marquez		39.4%
60.6%
+127
-147
+135
-148
Loss
Win		-0.55401-0.53828-0.50022
Nina Nunes
Mackenzie Dern		47.8%
52.2%
-120
+108
-120
+120
Loss
Win		-0.75824-0.78845-0.64972
Mike Perry
Daniel Rodriguez		28.2%
71.8%
+105
-119
+105
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64065-0.63885-0.33149
Jim Miller
Joe Solecki		44.8%
55.2%
+210
-250
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.36652-0.59410
Scott Holtzman
Mateusz Gamrot		42.5%
57.5%
+200
-245
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.38484-0.37637-0.55316
John Makdessi
Ignacio Bahamondes		34.9%
65.1%
+170
-190
+175
-180
Win
Loss		-1.01846-1.01807-1.05389
Jarjis Danho
Yorgan De Castro		33.3%
66.7%
+250
-300
+250
-292
Win
Loss		-1.28786-1.28294-1.09964
Hunter Azure
Jack Shore		37.5%
62.5%
+160
-183
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.46674-0.44150-0.46997
Jordan Griffin
Luis Saldana		38.2%
61.8%
+118
-135
+120
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58695-0.58291-0.48198
Da-Un Jung
William Knight		45.5%
54.5%
-138
+118
-140
+120
Win
Loss		-0.58284-0.57618-0.78638
Impa Kasanganay
Sasha Palatnikov		71.1%
28.9%
-253
+220
-250
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36187-0.36291-0.34115
Stipe Miocic
Francis Ngannou		41.2%
58.8%
+120
-135
+125
-134
Loss
Win		-0.58291-0.57442-0.53144
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.