UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+150
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+285
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+550
-775
+525
-700
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-425
+355
-400
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-440
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-110
-110
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-550
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stipe Miocic
Francis Ngannou		41.2%
58.8%
+120
-135
+125
-134
Loss
Win		-0.58291-0.57442-0.53144
Tyron Woodley
Vicente Luque		39.6%
60.4%
+169
-194
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44685-0.45497-0.50354
Thomas Almeida
Sean O'Malley		28.1%
71.9%
+295
-325
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.28598-0.28198-0.32942
Gillian Robertson
Miranda Maverick		45.8%
54.2%
+140
-154
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52308-0.51371-0.61269
Jamie Mullarkey
Khama Worthy		40.2%
59.8%
+111
-130
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.78511-0.82968-0.91175
William Knight
Alonzo Menifield		38.4%
61.6%
+240
-280
+260
-275
Loss
Win		-0.33588-0.32121-0.48527
Jared Gooden
Abubakar Nurmagomedov		38.1%
61.9%
+200
-217
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.39672-0.41146-0.47984
Modestas Bukauskas
Michal Oleksiejczuk		46.8%
53.2%
+163
-185
+168
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46107-0.45770-0.63068
Omar Morales
Shane Young		83.3%
16.7%
-205
+181
-185
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42492-0.43838-0.18254
Marc-Andre Barriault
Abu Azaitar		45.7%
54.3%
-113
-103
-105
-105
Win
Loss		-0.67111-0.69315-0.78294
Derek Brunson
Kevin Holland		46.2%
53.8%
+190
-200
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.07614-1.07614-0.77161
Kenan Song
Max Griffin		42.7%
57.3%
+181
-210
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.42220-0.43838-0.55666
Montserrat Conejo
Cheyanne Vlismas		28.4%
71.6%
+225
-275
+245
-270
Win
Loss		-1.21885-1.25776-1.25927
Gustavo Lopez
Adrian Yanez		26.6%
73.4%
+190
-225
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.40419-0.39531-0.30949
Harry Hunsucker
Tai Tuivasa		40.4%
59.6%
+370
-460
+375
-430
Loss
Win		-0.23033-0.23071-0.51768
Marion Reneau
Macy Chiasson		35.1%
64.9%
+201
-230
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.38979-0.38995-0.43168
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.