UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+135
-150
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+255
-300
+285
-340
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+475
-600
+475
-570
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-470
+385
-400
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+385
-460
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-109
-109
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-525
+410
-480
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ovince Saint Preux
Jamahal Hill		34.3%
65.7%
+155
-170
+175
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48007-0.45199-0.42019
Justin Jaynes
Gabriel Benitez		40.2%
59.8%
+190
-222
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39704-0.42349-0.51498
John Allan
Roman Dolidze		28.2%
71.8%
+175
-190
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43731-0.43697-0.33168
Matt Wiman
Jordan Leavitt		31.8%
68.2%
+340
-420
+350
-380
Loss
Win		-0.23546-0.24242-0.38254
Jose Quinonez
Louis Smolka		48.3%
51.7%
+100
-115
+100
-120
Loss
Win		-0.65886-0.64869-0.65993
Damon Jackson
Ilia Topuria		37.8%
62.2%
+230
-225
+210
-235
Loss
Win		-0.36436-0.37185-0.47408
Jake Collier
Gian Villante		39.0%
61.0%
+165
-187
+170
-175
Win
Loss		-1.01366-1.00239-0.94197
Devin Clark
Anthony Smith		44.2%
55.8%
+115
-130
+115
-120
Loss
Win		-0.59775-0.61587-0.58281
Takashi Sato
Miguel Baeza		34.6%
65.4%
+185
-210
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41057-0.41412-0.42523
Parker Porter
Josh Parisian		36.6%
63.4%
+200
-225
+205
-210
Win
Loss		-1.13784-1.12325-1.00550
Bill Algeo
Spike Carlyle		44.4%
55.6%
+170
-180
+170
-170
Win
Loss		-1.01129-0.99325-0.81146
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Norma Dumont		49.9%
50.1%
-145
+130
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.86401-0.85395-0.69151
Kai Kamaka
Jonathan Pearce		77.2%
22.8%
-270
+245
-268
+260
Loss
Win		-1.27272-1.29186-1.47705
Anderson Dos Santos
Martin Day		35.9%
64.1%
+152
-163
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94538-0.94575-1.02577
Rachael Ostovich
Gina Mazany		42.4%
57.6%
+167
-190
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44579-0.44201-0.55201
Malcolm Gordon
Su Mudaerji		31.0%
69.0%
+300
-350
+325
-325
Loss
Win		-0.26933-0.26826-0.37119
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.