UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 16, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 15, 2025
Fights for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bogdan Grad
Luke Riley		32.2%
67.8%
+205
-230
+200
-225
Loss
Win		-0.38554-0.39304-0.38864
Nicolas Dalby
Saygid Izagakhmaev		28.7%
71.3%
+275
-335
+290
-330
Win
Loss		-1.35786-1.38454-1.24827
Alex Perez
Asu Almabayev		37.2%
62.8%
+190
-217
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.40795-0.42898-0.46486
Rafael Cerqueira
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev		7.4%
92.6%
+1075
-2000
+1150
-2000
Loss
Win		-0.08559-0.08066-0.07659
Bekzat Almakhan
Aleksandre Topuria		50.2%
49.8%
+120
-134
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.58431-0.58016-0.69816
Ismail Naurdiev
Ryan Loder		56.2%
43.8%
-128
+115
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.60349-0.60825-0.57593
Shem Rock
Nurullo Aliev		32.1%
67.9%
+255
-285
+280
-280
Loss
Win		-0.32247-0.30538-0.38719
Denzel Freeman
Marek Bujlo		61.5%
38.5%
-230
+205
-220
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38554-0.39531-0.48639
Jack Della Maddalena
Islam Makhachev		24.2%
75.8%
+265
-282
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31563-0.29408-0.27701
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili		47.5%
52.5%
-133
+129
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56815-0.57304-0.74440
Michael Morales
Sean Brady		48.8%
51.2%
+125
-130
+140
-140
Win
Loss		-0.82055-0.87546-0.71846
Carlos Prates
Leon Edwards		58.2%
41.8%
-155
+166
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.48149-0.51371-0.54170
Beneil Dariush
Benoit Saint Denis		37.5%
62.5%
+190
-205
+195
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.41110-0.47031
Rodolfo Vieira
Bo Nickal		37.1%
62.9%
+225
-230
+230
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36566-0.35538-0.46404
Roman Kopylov
Gregory Rodrigues		42.6%
57.4%
+167
-175
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.46283-0.45144-0.55436
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield		29.7%
70.3%
+320
-350
+350
-320
Loss
Win		-0.26707-0.25594-0.35288
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.