UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 27, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hayisaer Maheshate
Gabriel Benitez 		65.6%
34.4%
-240
+205
-210
+210
Volatility Bet Value Active
Na Liang
Ivana Petrovic 		30.3%
69.7%
+375
-500
+400
-495
Chris Padilla
James Llontop 		29.0%
71.0%
+340
-405
+365
-450
Ketlen Souza
Marnic Mann 		68.4%
31.6%
-355
+290
-360
+310
Caio Machado
Don'Tale Mayes 		48.3%
51.7%
-110
-102
-115
+105
Michal Figlak
Austin Hubbard 		63.6%
36.4%
-177
+155
-170
+150
Victor Henry
Rani Yahya 		70.8%
29.2%
-365
+307
-415
+335
Uros Medic
Tim Means 		64.8%
35.2%
-300
+250
-310
+260
David Onama
Jonathan Pearce 		35.1%
64.9%
+135
-145
+135
-140
Jhonata Diniz
Austen Lane 		59.8%
40.2%
-310
+270
-300
+255
Karine Silva
Ariane Lipski 		48.8%
51.2%
-155
+135
-155
+135
Bogdan Guskov
Ryan Spann 		37.1%
62.9%
+162
-175
+165
-180
Alex Perez
Matheus Nicolau 		37.2%
62.8%
+152
-177
+160
-170
Fights for Apr 26, 2024
Fights for May 4, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Loopy Godinez
Virna Jandiroba		58.7%
41.3%
-220
+185
-215
+200
Loss
Win		-1.08498-1.11438-0.88339
Herbert Burns
Julio Arce		26.4%
73.6%
+275
-322
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29973-0.28198-0.30586
Dennis Buzukja
Connor Matthews		53.6%
46.4%
-110
-102
-115
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67497-0.66000-0.62280
Anton Turkalj
Ibo Aslan		50.3%
49.7%
+120
-135
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.58291-0.60825-0.69967
Jacob Malkoun
Andre Petroski		57.8%
42.2%
-230
+205
-235
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38554-0.38877-0.54758
Angel Pacheco
Caolan Loughran		30.7%
69.3%
+400
-550
+425
-525
Loss
Win		-0.21218-0.20438-0.36739
Rose Namajunas
Amanda Ribas		55.2%
44.8%
-205
+188
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41647-0.41110-0.59365
Justin Tafa
Karl Williams		36.9%
63.1%
+180
-180
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.45144-0.45989
AJ Dobson
Edmen Shahbazyan		43.1%
56.9%
+170
-186
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.45075-0.45144-0.56386
Cameron Saaiman
Payton Talbott		48.0%
52.0%
+130
-150
+140
-140
Loss
Win		-0.54502-0.53900-0.65298
Youssef Zalal
Billy Quarantillo		31.6%
68.4%
-130
+120
-115
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59012-0.61509-1.15261
Luis Pajuelo
Fernando Padilla		43.8%
56.2%
+160
-171
+160
-170
Loss
Win		-0.47594-0.47678-0.57593
Kurt Holobaugh
Trey Ogden		35.9%
64.1%
+110
-125
+130
-130
Loss
Win		-0.61904-0.57054-0.44462
Ricardo Ramos
Julian Erosa		58.2%
41.8%
-168
+155
-170
+160
Loss
Win		-0.95493-0.96964-0.87227
Cody Gibson
Miles Johns		47.9%
52.1%
+128
-145
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.55450-0.53604-0.65250
Jarno Errens
Steven Nguyen		42.8%
57.2%
+145
-158
+140
-145
Win
Loss		-0.91644-0.88394-0.84919
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.