UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 16, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 15, 2025
Fights for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ethyn Ewing
Malcolm Wellmaker		19.0%
81.0%
+325
-390
+335
-350
Win
Loss		-1.47766-1.47780-1.65989
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus		31.0%
69.0%
+390
-335
+400
-435
Loss
Win		-0.23508-0.21992-0.37111
Patrick Sabatini
Chepe Mariscal		49.4%
50.6%
-110
+115
-115
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63550-0.63673-0.70546
Angela Hill
Fatima Kline		25.7%
74.3%
+450
-500
+425
-550
Loss
Win		-0.19737-0.20303-0.29748
Eric McConico
Baisangur Susurkaev		8.9%
91.1%
+850
-1200
+950
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.10799-0.09820-0.09267
Matheus Camilo
Viacheslav Borshchev		58.3%
41.7%
-160
+142
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51371-0.51371-0.53878
Randy Brown
Gabriel Bonfim		35.7%
64.3%
+145
-160
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.50878-0.51371-0.44104
Matt Schnell
Joseph Morales		28.5%
71.5%
+390
-400
+400
-405
Loss
Win		-0.22721-0.22264-0.33484
Uros Medic
Muslim Salikhov		66.2%
33.8%
-133
+115
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.59598-0.61904-0.41325
Chris Padilla
Ismael Bonfim		32.0%
68.0%
-115
+100
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.66000-0.67015-1.14028
Marco Tulio
Christian Duncan		54.0%
46.0%
-155
+140
-155
+135
Loss
Win		-0.89968-0.88724-0.77633
Hyder Amil
Jamall Emmers		42.6%
57.4%
-140
+130
-135
+125
Loss
Win		-0.85085-0.82968-0.55521
Ricky Simon
Raoni Barcelos		58.7%
41.3%
-184
+168
-180
+175
Loss
Win		-1.00663-1.01807-0.88339
Mayra Bueno Silva
Jacqueline Cavalcanti		33.8%
66.2%
+190
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.41146-0.41290
Max Gimenis
Josh Hokit		30.6%
69.4%
+340
-405
+340
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24950-0.25005-0.36494
Tecia Pennington
Denise Gomes		42.6%
57.4%
+165
-182
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46040-0.47276-0.55436
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.