UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+145
-168
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+295
-350
+300
-335
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+475
-650
+462
-550
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-350
+295
-330
+290
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-112
-102
-105
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+430
-600
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rafael Cerqueira
Ibo Aslan		52.5%
47.5%
-115
-105
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.71505-0.72743-0.74524
Rafael Dos Anjos
Geoff Neal		26.7%
73.3%
+220
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37449-0.31005
Myktybek Orolbai
Mateusz Rebecki		68.2%
31.8%
-270
+240
-240
+210
Loss
Win		-1.24733-1.15948-1.14504
Brunno Ferreira
Abus Magomedov		38.6%
61.4%
+135
-155
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53067-0.52736-0.48783
Chris Barnett
Kennedy Nzechukwu		18.4%
81.6%
+572
-750
+550
-750
Loss
Win		-0.15585-0.16073-0.20324
Victor Hugo
Farid Basharat		17.8%
82.2%
+475
-600
+550
-630
Loss
Win		-0.18473-0.16405-0.19600
Bruno Silva
Ismail Naurdiev		46.9%
53.1%
+137
-155
+150
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52719-0.51083-0.63260
Carlos Leal
Rinat Fakhretdinov		27.3%
72.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41690-0.31840
Michel Pereira
Anthony Hernandez		44.8%
55.2%
+135
-137
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55166-0.55080-0.59410
Kyler Phillips
Rob Font		70.3%
29.7%
-525
+490
-550
+475
Loss
Win		-1.78439-1.76908-1.21288
Su Mudaerji
Charles Johnson		41.4%
58.6%
+250
-290
+260
-270
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32256-0.53379
Daniel Pineda
Darren Elkins		49.6%
50.4%
+150
-165
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.50296-0.68464
Asu Almabayev
Matheus Nicolau		53.7%
46.3%
-235
+200
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38877-0.40015-0.62096
Jean Matsumoto
Brad Katona		66.6%
33.4%
-200
+178
-210
+180
Win
Loss		-0.43149-0.42344-0.40722
Tamires Vidal
Joselyne Edwards		35.9%
64.1%
+212
-240
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.37436-0.40323-0.44462
Elise Reed
Jessica Penne		61.2%
38.8%
-230
+200
-200
+210
Win
Loss		-0.39087-0.39466-0.49061
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.