UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+155
-165
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+295
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+600
-750
+525
-600
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-400
+330
-400
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+315
-400
+350
-400
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-115
+100
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+430
-550
+450
-550
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Robert Valentin Frey
Ryan Loder		57.3%
42.7%
-135
+125
-137
+125
Loss
Win		-0.82968-0.83319-0.85034
Mairon Santos
Kaan Ofli		58.8%
41.2%
-240
+215
-230
+205
Win
Loss		-0.37138-0.38554-0.53091
Michael Morales
Neil Magny		82.1%
17.9%
-850
+600
-790
+600
Win
Loss		-0.14813-0.14923-0.19761
Gerald Meerschaert
Edmen Shahbazyan		26.6%
73.4%
+280
-310
+280
-300
Win
Loss		-1.35406-1.34807-1.32279
Francis Marshall
Dennis Buzukja		54.2%
45.8%
-210
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41737-0.41110-0.61286
Jose Medina
Zach Reese		23.5%
76.5%
+600
-870
+505
-650
Loss
Win		-0.14780-0.17456-0.26747
James Llontop
Viacheslav Borshchev		33.0%
67.0%
+190
-210
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.40084-0.39988
Josiane Nunes
Jacqueline Cavalcanti		39.7%
60.3%
+245
-270
+250
-280
Loss
Win		-0.33448-0.32768-0.50504
Victoria Leonardo
Cong Wang		17.5%
82.5%
+700
-900
+600
-825
Loss
Win		-0.13005-0.14857-0.19248
Israel Adesanya
Dricus Du Plessis		61.9%
38.1%
-101
-108
+105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.67690-0.66904-0.96446
Muin Gafurov
Kai Kara-France		60.6%
39.4%
-275
+250
-270
+260
Loss
Win		-1.27165-1.28841-0.93107
Dan Hooker
Mateusz Gamrot		28.7%
71.3%
+350
-440
+400
-380
Win
Loss		-1.54043-1.60107-1.24970
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Tai Tuivasa		64.3%
35.7%
-230
+210
-215
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38037-0.39768-0.44104
Carlos Prates
Jingliang Li		66.8%
33.2%
-345
+320
-380
+330
Win
Loss		-0.26783-0.25755-0.40318
Valter Walker
Junior Tafa		55.2%
44.8%
-108
+105
-105
+107
Win
Loss		-0.66240-0.66433-0.59365
Ricardo Ramos
Josh Culibao		44.5%
55.5%
+120
-135
+115
-120
Win
Loss		-0.81706-0.77596-0.80863
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.