UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rafael Dos Anjos
Mateusz Gamrot		31.6%
68.4%
+400
-460
+360
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21791-0.23562-0.37987
Pedro Munhoz
Kyler Phillips		36.5%
63.5%
+185
-215
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41480-0.40015-0.45476
Philipe Lins
Ion Cutelaba		44.3%
55.7%
+122
-140
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.83073-0.84211-0.81529
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Michel Pereira		40.6%
59.4%
+125
-140
+145
-145
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.52452-0.52027
Josh Parisian
Robelis Despaigne		26.1%
73.9%
+307
-360
+290
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27304-0.28655-0.30266
CJ Vergara
Asu Almabayev		28.5%
71.5%
+405
-500
+425
-525
Loss
Win		-0.21319-0.20438-0.33542
Joanne Calderwood
Maryna Moroz		40.0%
60.0%
+185
-205
+190
-205
Win
Loss		-1.07005-1.08152-0.91537
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Shamil Gaziev		47.1%
52.9%
+175
-181
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-1.01932-1.04185-0.75277
Tyson Pedro
Vitor Petrino		33.4%
66.6%
+350
-370
+350
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24864-0.24994-0.40618
Alex Perez
Muhammad Mokaev		34.2%
65.8%
+316
-400
+320
-365
Loss
Win		-0.26273-0.26493-0.41847
Bekzat Almakhan
Umar Nurmagomedov		13.5%
86.5%
+850
-1100
+775
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.10870-0.11672-0.14508
Matt Schnell
Muin Gafurov		27.7%
72.3%
+400
-460
+375
-370
Loss
Win		-0.21791-0.23699-0.32454
Jamie Pickett
Eryk Anders		35.7%
64.3%
+400
-550
+400
-500
Loss
Win		-0.21218-0.21511-0.44139
Benardo Sopaj
Vinicius Oliveira		48.4%
51.6%
+100
-117
+120
-120
Loss
Win		-0.65614-0.60614-0.66138
Aiemann Zahabi
Javid Basharat		16.5%
83.5%
+575
-800
+550
-700
Win
Loss		-1.94589-1.90019-1.80223
Christian Duncan
Claudio Ribeiro		67.1%
32.9%
-400
+315
-340
+305
Win
Loss		-0.26329-0.27727-0.39890
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.