UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Geoff Neal
Ian Garry
36.0%
64.0%
+220
-250
+230
-260
Loss
Win
-0.36291-0.35037-0.44563
Henry Cejudo
Merab Dvalishvili
42.2%
57.8%
+245
-290
+270
-290
Loss
Win
-0.32917-0.31004-0.54846
Roman Kopylov
Anthony Hernandez
39.9%
60.1%
+173
-188
+170
-190
Loss
Win
-0.44541-0.44809-0.50901
Mackenzie Dern
Amanda Lemos
39.9%
60.1%
+137
-155
+140
-140
Loss
Win
-0.52719-0.53900-0.50901
Junior Tafa
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
30.4%
69.6%
+197
-220
+215
-220
Loss
Win
-0.39860-0.37964-0.36190
Carlos Vera
Rinya Nakamura
20.3%
79.7%
+900
-1200
+800
-195
Loss
Win
-0.10285-0.15537-0.22642
Brendson Ribeiro
Zhang Mingyang
45.0%
55.0%
+100
-103
-103
-115
Loss
Win
-0.68583-0.66711-0.59815
Josh Quinlan
Danny Barlow
42.6%
57.4%
+190
-200
+180
-200
Loss
Win
-0.41690-0.42898-0.55478
Val Woodburn
Oban Elliott
30.5%
69.5%
+325
-380
+320
-380
Loss
Win
-0.26021-0.26295-0.36403
Andrea Lee
Miranda Maverick
29.3%
70.7%
+175
-203
+180
-190
Loss
Win
-0.43359-0.43510-0.34617
Jack Hermansson
Joe Pyfer
44.0%
56.0%
+207
-235
+235
-230
Win
Loss
-1.14854-1.20441-0.82146
Andre Fili
Dan Ige
38.9%
61.1%
+165
-185
+165
-170
Loss
Win
-0.45828-0.46959-0.49209
Robert Bryczek
Ihor Potieria
52.5%
47.5%
-205
+190
-185
+193
Loss
Win
-1.08152-1.06537-0.74440
Brad Tavares
Gregory Rodrigues
38.1%
61.9%
+195
-225
+195
-210
Loss
Win
-0.39854-0.40573-0.47976
Michael Johnson
Darrius Flowers
53.4%
46.6%
-150
+135
-150
+135
Win
Loss
-0.53604-0.53604-0.62698
Armen Petrosyan
Rodolfo Vieira
52.5%
47.5%
-120
+115
-120
+121
Loss
Win
-0.77596-0.79094-0.74528
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.