UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brian Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt		39.9%
60.1%
+170
-184
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45213-0.46185-0.50981
Ariane Lipski
Casey O'Neill		32.0%
68.0%
+155
-180
+150
-170
Win
Loss		-0.97051-0.94549-1.13865
Cody Durden
Tagir Ulanbekov		37.1%
62.9%
+169
-170
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46401-0.45497-0.46286
Lucas Almeida
Andre Fili		43.4%
56.6%
+132
-152
+150
-152
Loss
Win		-0.53919-0.50873-0.56939
Shamil Gaziev
Martin Buday		42.1%
57.9%
-103
-112
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71353-0.71668-0.86531
Chris Gutierrez
Song Yadong		35.4%
64.6%
+280
-335
+290
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29396-0.28827-0.43748
Anthony Smith
Khalil Rountree Jr.		37.3%
62.7%
+175
-205
+185
-200
Loss
Win		-0.43245-0.42286-0.46665
Jamie Mullarkey
Nasrat Haqparast		45.6%
54.4%
+170
-194
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44551-0.45144-0.60947
Su Mudaerji
Tim Elliott		69.0%
31.0%
+140
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.52206-1.17028
Andre Muniz
Junyong Park		40.4%
59.6%
+165
-182
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-0.99704-1.01255-0.90525
Kenan Song
Kevin Jousset		44.2%
55.8%
+130
-140
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.55696-0.53604-0.58417
Shannon Ross
HyunSung Park		17.5%
82.5%
+520
-650
+500
-650
Loss
Win		-0.17067-0.17589-0.19230
Steve Garcia
Melquizael Costa		35.5%
64.5%
+195
-230
+200
-230
Win
Loss		-1.11712-1.12846-1.03685
Stephanie Egger
Luana Santos		43.8%
56.2%
+140
-155
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.54173-0.57593
Carlos Hernandez
Tatsuro Taira		25.5%
74.5%
+445
-585
+450
-550
Loss
Win		-0.19463-0.19464-0.29465
Rayanne Amanda
Talita Alencar		52.7%
47.3%
-150
+139
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.88953-0.85085-0.74965
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.