UFC MMA Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.

Fights for Dec 18, 2025

Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

Time	Fighters	Win	Best ML	Final Result	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/21/2023 07:20 PM	Kamaru Usman Khamzat Chimaev	32.0% 68.0%	+285 -310 +300 -340	Loss Win	-0.29530-0.28030	-0.38559
10/21/2023 06:37 PM	Warlley Alves Ikram Aliskerov	28.0% 72.0%	+530 -675 +550 -600	Loss Win	-0.16741-0.16509	-0.32900
10/21/2023 06:20 PM	Muin Gafurov Said Nurmagomedov	23.8% 76.2%	+275 -310 +275 -300	Loss Win	-0.30209-0.30422	-0.27220
10/21/2023 05:39 PM	Tim Elliott Muhammad Mokaev	24.4% 75.6%	+350 -420 +400 -420	Loss Win	-0.24305-0.22123	-0.27993
10/21/2023 05:14 PM	Trevor Peek Mohammad Yahya	47.8% 52.2%	-185 +165 -180 +175	Win Loss	-0.45828-0.44830	-0.73915
10/21/2023 04:20 PM	Abu Azaitar Sedriques Dumas	33.5% 66.5%	+206 -225 +430 -225	Loss Win	-0.38665-0.24101	-0.40819
10/21/2023 03:50 PM	Mike Breeden Anshul Jubli	27.1% 72.9%	+217 -250 +240 -250	Win Loss	-1.18303-1.23213	-1.30523
10/21/2023 03:19 PM	Muhammad Naimov Nathaniel Wood	17.6% 82.4%	+270 -325 +300 -300	Win Loss	-1.34270-1.38629	-1.74000
10/21/2023 02:50 PM	Jinh Yu Frey Viktoriya Dudakova	33.8% 66.2%	+400 -500 +425 -335	Loss Win	-0.21511-0.22101	-0.41241
10/21/2023 02:16 PM	Bruno Silva Shara Magomedov	38.3% 61.7%	+320 -370 +305 -350	Loss Win	-0.26425-0.27570	-0.48358
10/15/2023 01:08 AM	Edson Barboza Sodiq Yusuff	32.7% 67.3%	+155 -170 +160 -160	Win Loss	-0.95763-0.95550	-1.11896
10/15/2023 12:33 AM	Viviane Araujo Jennifer Maia	46.5% 53.5%	+135 -145 +130 -135	Win Loss	-0.87165-0.84211	-0.76613
10/15/2023 12:05 AM	Jonathan Martinez Adrian Yanez	46.3% 53.7%	-120 +107 -110 +105	Win Loss	-0.63429-0.65817	-0.77096
10/14/2023 11:46 PM	Michel Pereira Andre Petroski	58.2% 41.8%	-185 +165 -190 +170	Win Loss	-0.45828-0.44809	-0.54128
10/14/2023 11:14 PM	Cameron Saaiman Christian Rodriguez	42.8% 57.2%	+111 -125 +115 -130	Loss Win	-0.61683-0.60042	-0.55862
10/14/2023 10:37 PM	Darren Elkins TJ Brown	41.9% 58.1%	+185 -180 +180 -180	Win Loss	-1.04103-1.02963	-0.86874

Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Fights	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	12	10-1 (0.833)	0	-0.50201
Sportsbooks	12	10-1 (0.833)	0	-0.49403
DRatings	12	9-2 (0.750)	0	-0.52836	-0.02635 -0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.