UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cody Gibson
Brad Katona		38.9%
61.1%
+165
-175
+170
-170
Loss
Win		-0.46561-0.46262-0.49321
Gerald Meerschaert
Andre Petroski		31.9%
68.1%
+195
-221
+200
-215
Loss
Win		-0.40036-0.39768-0.38358
Andrea Lee
Natalia Silva		28.1%
71.9%
+290
-340
+292
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28655-0.29278-0.32994
Karine Silva
Maryna Moroz		54.7%
45.3%
-120
+115
-118
+115
Win
Loss		-0.61667-0.62019-0.60287
Vicente Luque
Rafael Dos Anjos		45.0%
55.0%
+105
-118
+105
-125
Win
Loss		-0.74651-0.76029-0.79869
Cub Swanson
Hakeem Dawodu		34.3%
65.7%
+250
-300
+260
-280
Win
Loss		-1.28786-1.29543-1.06968
Chris Daukaus
Khalil Rountree Jr.		34.7%
65.3%
+140
-156
+147
-158
Loss
Win		-0.52103-0.50748-0.42575
Polyana Viana
Iasmin Lucindo		43.7%
56.3%
+170
-190
+170
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.44809-0.57396
Tafon Nchukwi
AJ Dobson		56.2%
43.8%
-125
+115
-140
+125
Loss
Win		-0.78592-0.83833-0.82595
Jamie Pickett
Josh Fremd		33.2%
66.8%
+256
-300
+260
-305
Loss
Win		-0.31811-0.31397-0.40318
JP Buys
Marcus McGhee		33.8%
66.2%
+285
-330
+255
-295
Loss
Win		-0.29152-0.32004-0.41290
Mike Breeden
Terrance McKinney		34.2%
65.8%
+265
-280
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.31614-0.34163-0.41784
Isaac Dulgarian
Francis Marshall		39.4%
60.6%
+115
-128
+115
-128
Win
Loss		-0.79164-0.79164-0.93146
Josh Parisian
Martin Buday		27.1%
72.9%
+180
-205
+188
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41925-0.31623
Montserrat Conejo
Jaqualine Amorim		27.5%
72.5%
+210
-235
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.37449-0.32197
Jose Johnson
Da'Mon Blackshear		21.4%
78.6%
+215
-250
+230
-250
Loss
Win		-0.36772-0.35364-0.24101
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.