UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 17, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 16, 2025
Fights for Dec 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kamuela Kirk
Esteban Ribovics		41.0%
59.0%
+140
-160
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.51706-0.54173-0.52721
Abus Magomedov
Sean Strickland		35.9%
64.1%
+130
-145
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.54173-0.44462
Grant Dawson
Damir Ismagulov		45.6%
54.4%
+115
-122
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.78001-0.78592-0.78566
Max Griffin
Michael Morales		37.3%
62.7%
+240
-255
+248
-250
Loss
Win		-0.34321-0.33812-0.46743
Ariane Lipski
Melissa Gatto		39.1%
60.9%
+210
-235
+205
-230
Win
Loss		-1.15518-1.13968-0.93925
Benoit Saint Denis
Ismael Bonfim		34.7%
65.3%
+220
-258
+240
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19577-1.22377-1.05892
Nursulton Ruziboev
Brunno Ferreira		39.3%
60.7%
+197
-232
+192
-210
Win
Loss		-1.12344-1.09127-0.93344
Kevin Lee
Rinat Fakhretdinov		34.0%
66.0%
+176
-205
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.43117-0.42889-0.41595
Westin Wilson
Joanderson Brito		15.0%
85.0%
+800
-1150
+800
-1210
Loss
Win		-0.11402-0.11359-0.16201
Yana Kunitskaya
Karol Rosa		43.7%
56.3%
+170
-180
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45497-0.45497-0.57414
Elves Brenner
Guram Kutateladze		15.6%
84.4%
+500
-550
+500
-650
Win
Loss		-1.80448-1.82455-1.85931
Luana Carolina
Ivana Petrovic		35.6%
64.4%
+160
-180
+160
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98262-0.98262-1.03378
Blagoy Ivanov
Alexandr Romanov		44.9%
55.1%
+121
-141
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57290-0.56352-0.59635
Josh Emmett
Ilia Topuria		28.6%
71.4%
+305
-340
+320
-350
Loss
Win		-0.27727-0.26707-0.33721
Maycee Barber
Amanda Ribas		40.2%
59.8%
+170
-178
+170
-185
Win
Loss		-1.00387-1.01255-0.91135
Gabriel Santos
David Onama		66.2%
33.8%
-215
+192
-200
+195
Loss
Win		-1.09628-1.08743-1.08456
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.