UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 15, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Julia Polastri
Josefine Knutsson 		29.2%
70.8%
+170
-200
+175
-195
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan
Melquizael Costa 		41.7%
58.3%
+175
-200
+170
-190
Westin Wilson
Jeka Saragih 		27.0%
73.0%
+285
-350
+290
-330
Gabriella Fernandes
Carli Judice 		64.1%
35.9%
-161
+141
-150
+145
Garrett Armfield
Brady Hiestand 		55.1%
44.9%
-205
+190
-200
+195
Volatility Bet Value Active
Nate Maness
Jimmy Flick 		70.2%
29.8%
-670
+500
-600
+500
Adam Fugitt
Josh Quinlan 		47.0%
53.0%
+115
-128
+110
-125
Jose Johnson
Asu Almabayev 		32.3%
67.7%
+370
-465
+400
-400
All Bet Values Active
Miles Johns
Douglas Silva de Andrade 		49.9%
50.1%
-145
+130
-145
+135
Lucas Almeida
Timothy Cuamba 		42.6%
57.4%
+165
-185
+175
-185
Fights for Jun 14, 2024
Fights for Jun 16, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leah Letson
Felicia Spencer		19.8%
80.2%
+300
-345
+290
-330
Loss
Win		-0.27950-0.28827-0.22043
Khaos Williams
Miguel Baeza		36.0%
64.0%
+140
-150
+145
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.91198-1.02115
Julio Arce
Song Yadong		36.1%
63.9%
+125
-131
+125
-138
Loss
Win		-0.57869-0.56900-0.44815
Joel Alvarez
Thiago Moises		41.0%
59.0%
+230
-270
+225
-250
Win
Loss		-1.22615-1.20041-0.89162
Andrea Lee
Cynthia Calvillo		46.8%
53.2%
+110
-101
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.72040-0.74028-0.75971
Collin Anglin
Sean Woodson		30.7%
69.3%
+305
-340
+330
-350
Loss
Win		-0.27727-0.26160-0.36706
Cortney Casey
Liana Jojua		61.4%
38.6%
-350
+290
-330
+320
Win
Loss		-0.28493-0.27022-0.48778
Rafael Alves
Marc Diakiese		36.3%
63.7%
+244
-245
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.23629-1.23998-1.01261
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Da-Un Jung		40.4%
59.6%
+106
-117
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64204-0.62755-0.51780
Colby Covington
Kamaru Usman		37.6%
62.4%
+240
-285
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.33455-0.32375-0.47173
Zhang Weili
Rose Namajunas		54.3%
45.7%
-110
-110
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.74028-0.78244
Frankie Edgar
Marlon Vera		45.2%
54.8%
+135
-146
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54056-0.54173-0.60124
Billy Quarantillo
Shane Burgos		35.2%
64.8%
+160
-164
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.48190-0.50296-0.43388
Michael Chandler
Justin Gaethje		27.5%
72.5%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41146-0.32225
Andreas Michailidis
Alex Pereira		36.2%
63.8%
+220
-250
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37533-0.44920
Al Iaquinta
Bobby Green		47.3%
52.7%
+170
-190
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.45497-0.63985
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.69746 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.70205 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.62010
0.07736
0.08194

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.