UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 14, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Steve Garcia
Diego Lopes 		39.1%
60.9%
+135
-155
+145
-160
Kyle Daukaus
Bo Nickal 		28.3%
71.7%
+285
-350
+300
-350
Michael Chandler
Mauricio Ruffy 		19.3%
80.7%
+550
-775
+525
-700
Josh Hokit
Derrick Lewis 		72.3%
27.7%
-425
+355
-380
+330
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley 		27.9%
72.1%
+350
-440
+350
-420
Ciryl Gane
Alex Pereira 		45.5%
54.5%
-110
-110
-110
-105
Justin Gaethje
Ilia Topuria 		25.4%
74.6%
+420
-550
+450
-510
Fights for Jun 13, 2026
Fights for Jun 20, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Matt Frevola
Benoit Saint Denis		34.6%
65.4%
+181
-190
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.43383-0.39531-0.42471
Diego Lopes
Patrick Sabatini		42.8%
57.2%
+106
-108
+100
-120
Win
Loss		-0.72737-0.73760-0.84805
Alessandro Costa
Muin Gafurov		54.6%
45.4%
+190
-210
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.41737-0.78882
Tabatha Ricci
Loopy Godinez		39.9%
60.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.50901
Roosevelt Roberts
Mateusz Rebecki		24.5%
75.5%
+550
-715
+550
-705
Loss
Win		-0.16158-0.16184-0.28091
Viacheslav Borshchev
Nazim Sadykhov		38.1%
61.9%
+141
-155
+140
-150
Draw
Draw		-0.71126-0.70968-0.72229
Mark Madsen
Jared Gordon		40.9%
59.1%
+182
-212
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41995-0.42344-0.52631
John Castaneda
Kyung Ho Kang		52.5%
47.5%
+100
+100
+100
-105
Win
Loss		-0.69315-0.70528-0.64487
Kevin Borjas
Joshua Van		40.1%
59.9%
+200
-235
+205
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38877-0.38554-0.51181
Dennis Buzukja
Jamall Emmers		44.4%
55.6%
+215
-240
+220
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37138-0.36844-0.58674
Derrick Lewis
Jailton Almeida		27.3%
72.7%
+375
-455
+375
-445
Loss
Win		-0.22857-0.22940-0.31854
Nicolas Dalby
Gabriel Bonfim		29.7%
70.3%
+425
-500
+425
-475
Win
Loss		-1.68174-1.67462-1.21325
Don'Tale Mayes
Rodrigo Nascimento		41.7%
58.3%
+191
-205
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.41294-0.43510-0.53902
Abus Magomedov
Caio Borralho		33.8%
66.2%
+245
-290
+260
-310
Loss
Win		-0.32917-0.31290-0.41325
Kaynan Kruschewsky
Elves Brenner		40.3%
59.7%
+207
-241
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.37905-0.39531-0.51502
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Rinat Fakhretdinov		38.6%
61.4%
+276
-333
+280
-320
Draw
Draw		-0.82792-0.82821-0.71999
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53032 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.53512 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.50847
0.02186
0.02665

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.