UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 17, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 16, 2025
Fights for Dec 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fernando Padilla
Julian Erosa		43.6%
56.4%
+141
-150
+130
-140
Win
Loss		-0.89446-0.85085-0.83004
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Waldo Cortes-Acosta		55.0%
45.0%
-170
+150
-170
+152
Win
Loss		-0.49182-0.48874-0.59773
Trey Waters
Josh Quinlan		37.7%
62.3%
+220
-220
+230
-235
Win
Loss		-1.16315-1.19842-0.97657
Jake Collier
Martin Buday		47.7%
52.3%
+132
-130
+130
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56678-0.55696-0.64831
Cody Durden
Charles Johnson		36.1%
63.9%
+120
-130
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.80802-0.80802-1.01821
Irina Alekseeva
Stephanie Egger		23.0%
77.0%
+300
-350
+330
-320
Win
Loss		-1.41371-1.45303-1.46872
Marcus McGhee
Journey Newson		42.3%
57.7%
+135
-138
+135
-140
Win
Loss		-0.85977-0.86325-0.86012
Hailey Cowan
Jamey-Lyn Horth		45.0%
55.0%
+141
-160
+145
-160
Loss
Win		-0.51539-0.50878-0.59815
Sergei Pavlovich
Curtis Blaydes		38.1%
61.9%
+120
-115
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.77781-0.78592-0.96496
Bruno Silva
Brad Tavares		45.1%
54.9%
+155
-160
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-0.94358-0.99458-0.79720
Jared Gordon
Bobby Green		30.7%
69.3%
+235
-260
+230
-260
Draw
Draw		-0.78770-0.78461-0.77392
Brogan Walker-Sanchez
Iasmin Lucindo		29.2%
70.8%
+345
-430
+350
-360
Loss
Win		-0.24449-0.24994-0.34493
Matthew Semelsberger
Jeremiah Wells		40.9%
59.1%
-115
+107
-110
+105
Loss
Win		-0.74537-0.72940-0.52597
Christos Giagos
Rick Glenn		34.4%
65.6%
+140
-144
+140
-150
Win
Loss		-0.88228-0.89199-1.06842
Rani Yahya
Montel Jackson		22.8%
77.2%
+525
-600
+475
-580
Loss
Win		-0.17114-0.18556-0.25819
Norma Dumont
Karol Rosa		49.7%
50.3%
-115
+106
-115
+105
Win
Loss		-0.64582-0.64814-0.69983
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.