UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Junior Tafa
Mohammed Usman		50.8%
49.2%
-118
+112
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.76430-0.74028-0.70826
William Gomis
Francis Marshall		44.0%
56.0%
+180
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss		-1.05317-1.03586-0.82178
Brady Hiestand
Batgerel Danaa		33.7%
66.3%
+130
-150
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.86710-0.87165-1.08723
Arnold Allen
Max Holloway		23.8%
76.2%
+155
-165
+143
-160
Loss
Win		-0.48848-0.51206-0.27199
Billy Quarantillo
Edson Barboza		59.0%
41.0%
-165
+157
-170
+160
Loss
Win		-0.95558-0.96964-0.89226
Azamat Murzakanov
Dustin Jacoby		42.6%
57.4%
+135
-142
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.86664-0.84211-0.85435
Ion Cutelaba
Tanner Boser		44.7%
55.3%
-110
+110
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.64663-0.59012-0.80629
Pedro Munhoz
Chris Gutierrez		42.2%
57.8%
+205
-205
+220
-200
Win
Loss		-1.11514-1.14209-0.86311
Clay Guida
Rafa Garcia		39.5%
60.5%
+265
-280
+275
-320
Loss
Win		-0.31614-0.30011-0.50334
TJ Brown
Bill Algeo		41.6%
58.4%
+190
-215
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40893-0.40573-0.53779
Brandon Royval
Matheus Nicolau		35.8%
64.2%
+170
-185
+180
-170
Win
Loss		-1.01255-1.01630-1.02597
Ed Herman
Zak Cummings		23.0%
77.0%
+185
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42006-0.41690-0.26169
Piera Rodriguez
Gillian Robertson		53.8%
46.2%
+110
-125
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.61904-0.60825-0.77128
Daniel Zellhuber
Lando Vannata		57.7%
42.3%
-130
+115
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60042-0.59784-0.55075
Denise Gomes
Bruna Brasil		37.9%
62.1%
+130
-142
+130
-145
Win
Loss		-0.85426-0.85918-0.97096
Aaron Phillips
Gaston Bolanos		29.9%
70.1%
+165
-175
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46561-0.44830-0.35496
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.