UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 19, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 18, 2025
Fights for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joselyne Edwards
Lucie Pudilova		36.1%
63.9%
+122
-137
+120
-135
Win
Loss		-0.82563-0.81706-1.01830
Alex Pereira
Israel Adesanya		37.0%
63.0%
+120
-135
+126
-135
Loss
Win		-0.58291-0.57111-0.46192
Jorge Masvidal
Gilbert Burns		27.8%
72.2%
+357
-370
+350
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24526-0.24512-0.32615
Rob Font
Adrian Yanez		53.7%
46.3%
+175
-170
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-1.00485-1.04185-0.62211
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Kevin Holland		37.3%
62.7%
+220
-250
+240
-250
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.34485-0.46620
Christian Rodriguez
Raul Rosas Jr.		35.3%
64.7%
+225
-260
+240
-250
Win
Loss		-1.20815-1.23213-1.04265
Kelvin Gastelum
Chris Curtis		44.7%
55.3%
-125
+114
-125
+130
Win
Loss		-0.61037-0.57807-0.80453
Michelle Waterson
Luana Pinheiro		29.4%
70.6%
+130
-141
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55568-0.53299-0.34804
Gerald Meerschaert
Joe Pyfer		46.3%
53.7%
+170
-200
+175
-185
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.44482-0.62220
Cynthia Calvillo
Loopy Godinez		36.6%
63.4%
+220
-244
+228
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36504-0.35901-0.45536
Trey Ogden
Ignacio Bahamondes		25.5%
74.5%
+400
-425
+400
-400
Loss
Win		-0.22078-0.22314-0.29414
Steve Garcia
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan		26.9%
73.1%
+159
-165
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.96037-0.93156-1.31252
Sam Hughes
Jaqualine Amorim		39.6%
60.4%
+240
-270
+245
-267
Win
Loss		-1.24733-1.25558-0.92553
Marlon Vera
Cory Sandhagen		40.3%
59.7%
+140
-150
+135
-140
Loss
Win		-0.52736-0.54782-0.51611
Yana Kunitskaya
Holly Holm		33.2%
66.8%
+210
-245
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37449-0.37637-0.40393
Austin Lingo
Nate Landwehr		32.7%
67.3%
+185
-205
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42006-0.42898-0.39626
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.