UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Andrea Lee
Maycee Barber		31.9%
68.1%
+230
-263
+235
-270
Loss
Win		-0.34943-0.34293-0.38438
Albert Duraev
Chidi Njokuani		40.6%
59.4%
+140
-145
+140
-140
Win
Loss		-0.88394-0.87546-0.90229
Daniel Pineda
Tucker Lutz		40.1%
59.9%
+255
-300
+265
-305
Win
Loss		-1.29814-1.32144-0.91302
Lucas Alexander
Steven Peterson		39.2%
60.8%
+130
-150
+130
-150
Win
Loss		-0.86710-0.86710-0.93746
Preston Parsons
Trevin Giles		51.9%
48.1%
-120
+105
-105
+105
Loss
Win		-0.75056-0.71785-0.73104
Daniel Da Silva
CJ Vergara		36.3%
63.7%
+210
-240
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.37637-0.35955-0.45111
Vinicius Salvador
Victor Altamirano		51.1%
48.9%
-110
-105
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70441-0.71668-0.71539
Leon Edwards
Kamaru Usman		29.0%
71.0%
+225
-255
+240
-265
Win
Loss		-1.20434-1.24372-1.23915
Justin Gaethje
Rafael Fiziev		31.2%
68.8%
+225
-255
+240
-245
Win
Loss		-1.20434-1.22803-1.16408
Bryan Barberena
Gunnar Nelson		27.6%
72.4%
+315
-360
+330
-370
Loss
Win		-0.26842-0.25884-0.32321
Jennifer Maia
Casey O'Neill		39.7%
60.3%
+155
-175
+175
-175
Win
Loss		-0.96420-1.01159-0.92276
Roman Dolidze
Marvin Vettori		19.6%
80.4%
+220
-255
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36120-0.36652-0.21755
Makwan Amirkhani
Jack Shore		22.7%
77.3%
+485
-575
+505
-550
Loss
Win		-0.18288-0.17843-0.25728
Omar Morales
Chris Duncan		53.8%
46.2%
-110
-105
-105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.70441-0.69315-0.77306
Yanal Ashmouz
Sam Patterson		34.8%
65.2%
+230
-260
+240
-280
Win
Loss		-1.21885-1.25425-1.05696
Jafel Filho
Muhammad Mokaev		12.7%
87.3%
+650
-925
+735
-900
Loss
Win		-0.13780-0.12493-0.13553
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.