UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gabriel Santos
Lerone Murphy		36.9%
63.1%
+184
-180
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43679-0.43838-0.46115
Dusko Todorovic
Christian Duncan		41.7%
58.3%
+230
-240
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.35718-0.34163-0.54024
Malcolm Gordon
Jake Hadley		29.8%
70.2%
+400
-470
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21717-0.21869-0.35411
Luana Carolina
Joanne Calderwood		47.9%
52.1%
+155
-175
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.48012-0.46185-0.65137
Jai Herbert
Ludovit Klein		44.2%
55.8%
+178
-205
+190
-200
Draw
Draw		-0.74122-0.74652-0.70003
Jaqualine Amorim
Veronica Macedo		65.2%
34.8%
-400
+325
-420
+375
Loss
Win		-1.48162-1.57620-1.05509
Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan		35.5%
64.5%
+215
-250
+225
-235
Win
Loss		-1.17866-1.18780-1.03620
Alexandr Romanov
Alexander Volkov		60.6%
39.4%
-150
+135
-150
+140
Loss
Win		-0.87962-0.89199-0.93217
Ryan Spann
Nikita Krylov		30.5%
69.5%
+155
-157
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49589-0.49617-0.36412
Jonathan Martinez
Said Nurmagomedov		29.8%
70.2%
+215
-230
+230
-230
Win
Loss		-1.16174-1.19392-1.21224
Guido Cannetti
Mario Bautista		21.4%
78.6%
+750
-1000
+750
-915
Loss
Win		-0.12170-0.12266-0.24081
Anton Turkalj
Vitor Petrino		48.9%
51.1%
-101
-105
-105
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68363-0.69315-0.67188
Karl Williams
Lukasz Brzeski		69.4%
30.6%
-250
+225
-230
+210
Win
Loss		-0.35820-0.38037-0.36494
Raphael Assuncao
Davey Grant		42.6%
57.4%
+120
-140
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.57618-0.55080-0.55478
Josh Fremd
Sedriques Dumas		43.8%
56.2%
+195
-225
+200
-220
Win
Loss		-1.11261-1.11923-0.82595
Tony Gravely
Victor Henry		41.7%
58.3%
+130
-145
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.55080-0.53873
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.