UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza 		31.6%
68.4%
+250
-300
+240
-270
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves 		19.0%
81.0%
+305
-350
+310
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt 		67.3%
32.7%
-171
+165
-170
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira 		49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva 		50.5%
49.5%
+110
-117
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee 		20.3%
79.7%
+360
-450
+400
-500
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell 		84.7%
15.3%
-600
+475
-525
+455
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski 		39.2%
60.8%
+300
-370
+300
-340
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell 		39.8%
60.2%
+112
-122
+110
-120
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam 		32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen 		38.9%
61.1%
+163
-176
+165
-185
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad 		49.2%
50.8%
-103
-107
-105
-115
Fights for Jun 5, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Raoni Barcelos
Kyler Phillips		39.1%
60.9%
+180
-193
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.43320-0.45144-0.49599
Carlston Harris
Jeremiah Wells		43.1%
56.9%
+101
-115
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.73002-0.71668-0.84065
Damon Jackson
Billy Quarantillo		38.2%
61.8%
+140
-155
+140
-155
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.52206-0.48114
Cody Durden
Jake Hadley		40.4%
59.6%
+184
-210
+175
-200
Win
Loss		-1.07292-1.04146-0.90703
Dennis Buzukja
Sean Woodson		38.2%
61.8%
+155
-175
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48012-0.48102-0.48049
Asu Almabayev
Ode Osbourne		56.9%
43.1%
-210
+180
-200
+180
Win
Loss		-0.42344-0.42898-0.56338
Justin Gaethje
Dustin Poirier		41.6%
58.4%
+140
-150
+140
-145
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.88394-0.87601
Alex Pereira
Jan Blachowicz		48.5%
51.5%
-103
+110
-105
+115
Win
Loss		-0.66192-0.64609-0.72361
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Derrick Lewis		52.8%
47.2%
-201
+175
-190
+180
Loss
Win		-1.04251-1.04185-0.74993
Tony Ferguson
Bobby Green		36.6%
63.4%
+310
-340
+315
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27432-0.27143-0.45582
Michael Chiesa
Kevin Holland		45.3%
54.7%
+130
-130
+126
-135
Loss
Win		-0.57054-0.57111-0.60402
Trevin Giles
Gabriel Bonfim		32.1%
67.9%
+290
-330
+285
-320
Loss
Win		-0.28827-0.29335-0.38771
Vinicius Salvador
CJ Vergara		41.4%
58.6%
+150
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.49303-0.53503
Claudio Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov		41.2%
58.8%
+205
-235
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.38349-0.38472-0.53152
Darrius Flowers
Jake Matthews		26.9%
73.1%
+244
-280
+240
-280
Loss
Win		-0.33255-0.33588-0.31326
Uros Medic
Matthew Semelsberger		43.0%
57.0%
+173
-190
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-1.02555-1.03022-0.84292
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.