UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ariane Lipski
JJ Aldrich		42.2%
57.8%
+370
-400
+400
-400
Win
Loss		-1.56022-1.60944-0.86348
Bruno Silva
Tyson Nam		73.5%
26.5%
-160
+155
-155
+155
Win
Loss		-0.49303-0.49784-0.30816
Jared Gooden
Carlston Harris		23.3%
76.7%
+256
-280
+250
-270
Loss
Win		-0.32296-0.33041-0.26561
Ciryl Gane
Jon Jones		31.1%
68.9%
+160
-154
+145
-155
Loss
Win		-0.49125-0.51371-0.37321
Alexa Grasso
Valentina Shevchenko		22.0%
78.0%
+620
-800
+750
-825
Win
Loss		-2.00144-2.14952-1.51508
Geoff Neal
Shavkat Rakhmonov		18.6%
81.4%
+395
-470
+460
-455
Loss
Win		-0.21914-0.19706-0.20579
Jalin Turner
Mateusz Gamrot		36.4%
63.6%
+170
-175
+190
-195
Loss
Win		-0.45869-0.41980-0.45268
Jamie Pickett
Bo Nickal		16.5%
83.5%
+1300
-1800
+1150
-1800
Loss
Win		-0.07269-0.08107-0.18056
Trevin Jones
Cody Garbrandt		31.4%
68.6%
+160
-175
+160
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47276-0.47276-0.37628
Derek Brunson
Dricus Du Plessis		43.0%
57.0%
+190
-220
+205
-220
Loss
Win		-0.40651-0.38995-0.56210
Amanda Ribas
Viviane Araujo		59.3%
40.7%
-105
-110
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.70441-0.68116-0.52211
Marc-Andre Barriault
Julian Marquez		52.2%
47.8%
-159
+140
-160
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51803-0.50878-0.65020
Kenan Song
Ian Garry		29.3%
70.7%
+650
-750
+650
-870
Loss
Win		-0.14072-0.13860-0.34630
Mana Martinez
Cameron Saaiman		25.4%
74.6%
+241
-265
+260
-270
Loss
Win		-0.33927-0.32256-0.29237
Jessica Penne
Tabatha Ricci		36.5%
63.5%
+315
-330
+325
-300
Loss
Win		-0.27306-0.27286-0.45374
Da'Mon Blackshear
Farid Basharat		26.9%
73.1%
+330
-410
+360
-420
Loss
Win		-0.25408-0.23835-0.31326
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.