UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elise Reed
Loma Lookboonmee		35.5%
64.5%
+290
-340
+320
-300
Loss
Win		-0.28655-0.27571-0.43920
Shane Young
Blake Bilder		53.4%
46.6%
-148
+130
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.86398-0.88394-0.76336
Elves Brenner
Zubaira Tukhugov		27.9%
72.1%
+470
-625
+500
-540
Win
Loss		-1.77727-1.80211-1.27679
Derrick Lewis
Serghei Spivac		38.2%
61.8%
+240
-265
+255
-275
Loss
Win		-0.34011-0.32507-0.48125
Devin Clark
Da-Un Jung		45.2%
54.8%
+235
-265
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.23320-1.21885-0.79385
Blagoy Ivanov
Marcin Tybura		43.0%
57.0%
+135
-145
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.56352-0.56291
Kyle Nelson
Dooho Choi		43.6%
56.4%
+175
-190
+175
-185
Draw
Draw		-0.73586-0.73454-0.70139
Adam Fugitt
Yusaku Kinoshita		34.6%
65.4%
+280
-335
+285
-340
Win
Loss		-1.36771-1.38003-1.06088
Denis Tiuliulin
Junyong Park		28.1%
71.9%
+181
-189
+192
-195
Loss
Win		-0.43448-0.41746-0.33031
Jesus Aguilar
Tatsuro Taira		22.2%
77.8%
+850
-1250
+850
-1300
Loss
Win		-0.10767-0.10738-0.25082
Glover Teixeira
Jamahal Hill		37.4%
62.6%
+125
-140
+130
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.55696-0.46799
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno		55.7%
44.3%
+125
-138
+125
-135
Loss
Win		-0.56900-0.57304-0.81331
Neil Magny
Gilbert Burns		21.1%
78.9%
+425
-525
+450
-505
Loss
Win		-0.20438-0.19706-0.23677
Lauren Murphy
Jessica Andrade		30.9%
69.1%
+485
-525
+425
-510
Loss
Win		-0.18523-0.20524-0.37022
Paul Craig
Johnny Walker		36.7%
63.3%
+160
-175
+170
-185
Loss
Win		-0.47276-0.45144-0.45751
Mauricio Rua
Ihor Potieria		37.6%
62.4%
+187
-195
+175
-195
Loss
Win		-0.42338-0.43833-0.47128
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-0 (0.900)0-0.44035 
Sportsbooks109-0 (0.900)0-0.42921 
DRatings108-1 (0.800)0-0.49818
-0.05783
-0.06897

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.