UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brunno Ferreira
Gregory Rodrigues		24.4%
75.6%
+263
-300
+260
-295
Win
Loss		-1.31438-1.30523-1.41227
Thiago Moises
Melquizael Costa		78.5%
21.5%
-390
+320
-380
+330
Win
Loss		-0.26172-0.25755-0.24206
Mounir Lazzez
Gabriel Bonfim		38.1%
61.9%
+160
-170
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47678-0.45497-0.47892
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Jailton Almeida		15.0%
85.0%
+750
-1000
+750
-1000
Loss
Win		-0.12170-0.12170-0.16262
Cody Stamann
Luan Lacerda		77.9%
22.1%
-360
+300
-330
+330
Win
Loss		-0.27720-0.26469-0.24955
Ismael Bonfim
Terrance McKinney		42.1%
57.9%
+110
-110
-105
-105
Win
Loss		-0.74194-0.69315-0.86474
Warlley Alves
Nicolas Dalby		48.4%
51.6%
-120
+107
-125
+110
Loss
Win		-0.75568-0.77319-0.66206
Zarah Fairn
Josiane Nunes		30.0%
70.0%
+500
-550
+500
-550
Loss
Win		-0.17980-0.17980-0.35613
Saimon Oliveira
Daniel Marcos		53.7%
46.3%
-130
+120
-140
+125
Loss
Win		-0.80802-0.83833-0.77042
Sean Strickland
Nassourdine Imavov		54.5%
45.5%
+117
-134
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.80766-0.82968-0.60719
Damon Jackson
Dan Ige		50.2%
49.8%
+116
-128
+120
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60139-0.59012-0.69699
Roman Kopylov
Punahele Soriano		43.0%
57.0%
+125
-135
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.82968-0.84211-0.84434
Raquel Pennington
Ketlen Vieira		52.1%
47.9%
+130
-150
+130
-130
Win
Loss		-0.86710-0.83292-0.65239
Raoni Barcelos
Umar Nurmagomedov		26.9%
73.1%
+601
-900
+650
-915
Loss
Win		-0.14712-0.13793-0.31351
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Claudio Ribeiro		40.9%
59.1%
-103
-110
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.70920-0.67015-0.89458
Nick Fiore
Mateusz Rebecki		16.5%
83.5%
+600
-900
+645
-800
Loss
Win		-0.14733-0.14064-0.17990
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks54-0 (0.800)0-0.46211 
Sportsbooks54-0 (0.800)0-0.44914 
DRatings53-1 (0.600)0-0.58261
-0.12050
-0.13347

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.