UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Carlos Hernandez
Allan Nascimento		69.0%
31.0%
+325
-360
+320
-360
Loss
Win		-0.26286-0.26562-1.17109
Nick Aguirre
Dan Argueta		25.4%
74.6%
+410
-500
+425
-485
Loss
Win		-0.21131-0.20682-0.29237
Jimmy Flick
Charles Johnson		26.1%
73.9%
+285
-345
+300
-340
Loss
Win		-0.28895-0.28030-0.30266
Sean Strickland
Jared Cannonier		54.8%
45.2%
+100
-110
+110
-115
Loss
Win		-0.67015-0.63673-0.79436
Damir Ismagulov
Arman Tsarukyan		39.0%
61.0%
+175
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44150-0.44150-0.49497
Alessandro Costa
Amir Albazi		27.0%
73.0%
+400
-440
+350
-420
Loss
Win		-0.21950-0.24305-0.31504
Alex Caceres
Julian Erosa		45.1%
54.9%
+155
-174
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.96291-0.95078-0.79655
Bobby Green
Drew Dober		45.7%
54.3%
+150
-170
+150
-155
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.50566-0.61098
Cody Brundage
Michal Oleksiejczuk		36.6%
63.4%
+233
-230
+240
-218
Loss
Win		-0.35828-0.35700-0.45593
Cheyanne Vlismas
Cory McKenna		58.3%
41.7%
-185
+162
-180
+160
Loss
Win		-0.99350-0.98262-0.87563
Matthew Semelsberger
Jake Matthews		40.8%
59.2%
+265
-300
+290
-295
Win
Loss		-1.31841-1.36422-0.89541
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
Said Nurmagomedov		40.2%
59.8%
-105
+100
-110
+100
Loss
Win		-0.70528-0.71668-0.51361
Rafa Garcia
Hayisaer Maheshate		63.3%
36.7%
-152
+133
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.53739-0.52736-0.45806
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Bryan Battle		57.7%
42.3%
-148
+140
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.52957-0.52736-0.54927
David Dvorak
Manel Kape		34.9%
65.1%
+200
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40015-0.41146-0.42905
Journey Newson
Sergey Morozov		15.6%
84.4%
+260
-300
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.29408-0.16934
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.31935 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.30624 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.39434
-0.07498
-0.08810

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.