UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 21, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 20, 2025
Fights for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vince Morales
Miles Johns		34.8%
65.2%
+150
-167
+155
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49441-0.48848-0.42696
Kevin Natividad
Ricky Turcios		45.0%
55.0%
+171
-190
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44674-0.44830-0.59815
Maria Oliveira
Vanessa Demopoulos		57.0%
43.0%
+100
-114
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.66196-0.68201-0.84292
Fernie Garcia
Brady Hiestand		47.0%
53.0%
+150
-170
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.49617-0.63401
Natalia Silva
Tereza Bleda		54.7%
45.3%
-163
+145
-165
+150
Win
Loss		-0.50595-0.49617-0.60265
Alex Pereira
Israel Adesanya		25.6%
74.4%
+193
-220
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.10337-1.08672-1.36082
Zhang Weili
Carla Esparza		67.2%
32.8%
-380
+325
-350
+350
Win
Loss		-0.26021-0.25131-0.39727
Michael Chandler
Dustin Poirier		47.1%
52.9%
+170
-190
+190
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.42286-0.63616
Frankie Edgar
Chris Gutierrez		41.2%
58.8%
+220
-240
+205
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36652-0.38151-0.53135
Claudio Puelles
Dan Hooker		35.2%
64.8%
+140
-155
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52206-0.52736-0.43442
Brad Riddell
Renato Moicano		48.3%
51.7%
+111
-125
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.61683-0.60825-0.66002
Ryan Spann
Dominick Reyes		22.2%
77.8%
+195
-210
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.09808-1.08672-1.50512
Erin Blanchfield
Molly McCann		70.0%
30.0%
-350
+318
-385
+330
Win
Loss		-0.26818-0.25693-0.35666
Wellington Turman
Andre Petroski		41.3%
58.7%
+162
-172
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.47225-0.46959-0.53239
Matt Frevola
Ottman Azaitar		50.7%
49.3%
+155
-165
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.95078-0.94358-0.67901
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Silvana Gomez Juarez		45.9%
54.1%
+100
-110
+100
-110
Win
Loss		-0.71668-0.71668-0.77969
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.