Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

PRESEASON: Updated on 11/4/2019.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Mississippi
Creighton
Memphis
Washington
Minnesota
Clemson
UCF
Arkansas
Wichita St
Oklahoma St
Colorado
South Carolina

The team listed at the top of the “Last Four In” is the most vulnerable to miss the tournament.

Bracketology – 2019 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Virginia
ACC*
0-0
4.959
0 (1)
Michigan St
Big Ten*
0-0
4.828
0 (1)
Duke
ACC
0-0
4.661
0 (1)
Kentucky
SEC*
0-0
4.534
0 (1)
2 Seeds
North Carolina
ACC
0-0
4.303
0 (1)
Gonzaga
WCC*
0-0
4.243
0 (1)
Purdue
Big Ten
0-0
3.853
0 (1)
Texas Tech
Big 12*
0-0
3.771
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Tennessee
SEC
0-0
3.710
0 (1)
Michigan
Big Ten
0-0
3.432
0 (1)
Auburn
SEC
0-0
3.360
0 (1)
Florida St
ACC
0-0
3.291
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Kansas
Big 12
0-0
3.146
0 (1)
Houston
AAC*
0-0
3.110
0 (1)
Louisville
ACC
0-0
2.945
0 (1)
LSU
SEC
0-0
2.792
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Villanova
Big East*
0-0
2.690
0 (1)
Cincinnati
AAC
0-0
2.596
0 (1)
Virginia Tech
ACC
0-0
2.501
0 (1)
Kansas St
Big 12
0-0
2.463
0 (1)
6 Seeds
Florida
SEC
0-0
2.442
0 (1)
Maryland
Big Ten
0-0
2.433
0 (1)
Iowa St
Big 12
0-0
2.400
0 (1)
Wisconsin
Big Ten
0-0
2.381
0 (1)
7 Seeds
Baylor
Big 12
0-0
2.239
0 (1)
Mississippi St
SEC
0-0
2.230
0 (1)
Texas
Big 12
0-0
2.174
0 (1)
Oklahoma
Big 12
0-0
2.057
0 (1)
8 Seeds
St Mary’s CA
WCC
0-0
2.008
0 (1)
Oregon
Pac-12*
0-0
1.984
0 (1)
Marquette
Big East
0-0
1.938
0 (1)
Ohio St
Big Ten
0-0
1.932
0 (1)
9 Seeds
NC State
ACC
0-0
1.849
0 (1)
Iowa
Big Ten
0-0
1.768
0 (1)
TCU
Big 12
0-0
1.692
0 (1)
Seton Hall
Big East
0-0
1.657
0 (1)
10 Seeds
Penn St
Big Ten
0-0
1.641
0 (1)
Indiana
Big Ten
0-0
1.619
0 (1)
Buffalo
MAC*
0-0
1.618
0 (1)
Syracuse
ACC
0-0
1.583
0 (1)
11 Seeds
Xavier
Big East#
0-0
1.551
0 (1)
Washington
Pac-12#
0-0
1.548
0 (1)
VA Commonwealth
A-10*
0-0
1.529
0 (1)
Memphis
AAC#
0-0
1.517
0 (1)
Creighton
Big East#
0-0
1.481
0 (1)
Mississippi
SEC#
0-0
1.452
0 (1)
12 Seeds
Wofford
Southern*
0-0
1.451
0 (1)
Belmont
OVC*
0-0
1.180
0 (1)
New Mexico St
WAC*
0-0
1.161
0 (1)
Utah St
MWC*
0-0
1.095
0 (1)
13 Seeds
Liberty
ASUN*
0-0
0.990
0 (1)
Vermont
AEC*
0-0
0.600
0 (1)
Harvard
Ivy*
0-0
0.319
0 (1)
UC Irvine
Big West*
0-0
0.275
0 (1)
14 Seeds
WKU
CUSA*
0-0
-0.00
0 (1)
N Kentucky
Horizon*
0-0
-0.02
0 (1)
Northeastern
Colonial*
0-0
-0.24
0 (1)
Colgate
Patriot*
0-0
-0.30
0 (1)
15 Seeds
Radford
Big South*
0-0
-0.38
0 (1)
Ga Southern
Sun Belt*
0-0
-0.46
0 (1)
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
0-0
-0.65
0 (1)
S Dakota St
Summit*
0-0
-1.03
0 (1)
16 Seeds
Montana
Big Sky*
0-0
-1.31
0 (1)
Prairie View
SWAC*
0-0
-1.67
0 (1)
F Dickinson
NEC*#
0-0
-1.71
0 (1)
Sam Houston St
Southland*#
0-0
-1.80
0 (1)
Iona
MAAC*#
0-0
-2.03
0 (1)
Norfolk St
MEAC*#
0-0
-2.90
0 (1)

There are currently two teams that are ineligible for the 2019 tournament due to APR. Those teams are Alabama A&M and Florida A&M.

Bracketology – 2019 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Actual Seed SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Minnesota
Big Ten
0-0
1.346
0 (1)
Clemson
ACC
0-0
1.342
0 (1)
UCF
AAC
0-0
1.281
0 (1)
Arkansas
SEC
0-0
1.259
0 (1)
2 Seeds
Wichita St
AAC
0-0
1.239
0 (1)
Oklahoma St
Big 12
0-0
1.168
0 (1)
Colorado
Pac-12
0-0
1.162
0 (1)
South Carolina
SEC
0-0
1.028
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Missouri
SEC
0-0
1.015
0 (1)
Providence
Big East
0-0
0.991
0 (1)
Illinois
Big Ten
0-0
0.951
0 (1)
Alabama
SEC
0-0
0.911
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Murray St
OVC
0-0
0.837
0 (1)
West Virginia
Big 12
0-0
0.830
0 (1)
Texas A&M
SEC
0-0
0.788
0 (1)
Nevada
MWC*
0-0
0.768
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Butler
Big East
0-0
0.764
0 (1)
Temple
AAC
0-0
0.725
0 (1)
Arizona St
Pac-12
0-0
0.704
0 (1)
Nebraska
Big Ten
0-0
0.689
0 (1)
6 Seeds
Arizona
Pac-12
0-0
0.662
0 (1)
Georgetown
Big East
0-0
0.651
0 (1)
Miami FL
ACC
0-0
0.650
0 (1)
Rutgers
Big Ten
0-0
0.637
0 (1)
7 Seeds
Dayton
A-10
0-0
0.575
0 (1)
Lipscomb
ASUN*
0-0
0.305
0 (1)
Wright St
Horizon*
0-0
-0.21
0 (1)
Old Dominion
CUSA*
0-0
-0.35
0 (1)
8 Seeds
Georgia St
Sun Belt*
0-0
-0.53
0 (1)
Hofstra
Colonial*
0-0
-0.59
0 (1)
Campbell
Big South*
0-0
-1.74
0 (1)
St Francis PA
NEC*
0-0
-2.55
0 (1)