Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 3/12/2020 @ 10:00am ET.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Cincinnati
Xavier
Richmond
Wichita St
UCLA
Stanford
Texas
Memphis
Mississippi St
Northern Iowa
Purdue
Connecticut

The team listed at the top of the “Last Four In” is the most vulnerable to miss the tournament.

Bracketology – 2020 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Kansas
B12*
28-3
14.16
1.287 (6)
Baylor
B12
26-4
12.08
1.110 (25)
Gonzaga
WCC*
31-2
10.63
0.292 (104)
Dayton
A10*
29-2
9.225
0.335 (100)
2 Seeds
Florida St
ACC*
26-5
8.945
0.885 (51)
San Diego St
MWC
30-2
8.871
0.239 (108)
Creighton
BE*
24-7
8.827
0.965 (37)
Villanova
BE
24-7
8.706
1.252 (11)
3 Seeds
Michigan St
B10*
22-9
8.672
1.259 (9)
Duke
ACC
25-6
8.670
0.928 (43)
Kentucky
SEC*
25-6
8.322
0.790 (63)
Maryland
B10
24-7
8.289
1.192 (17)
4 Seeds
Seton Hall
BE
21-9
8.176
1.247 (12)
Louisville
ACC
24-7
8.065
0.871 (53)
Oregon
P12*
24-7
8.024
0.979 (33)
Wisconsin
B10
21-10
7.635
1.261 (8)
5 Seeds
Ohio St
B10
21-10
7.551
1.157 (23)
Butler
BE
22-9
7.306
1.108 (26)
BYU
WCC
24-8
7.233
0.597 (78)
Auburn
SEC
25-6
6.717
0.861 (54)
6 Seeds
Michigan
B10
19-12
6.445
1.290 (5)
West Virginia
B12
21-10
6.392
1.337 (1)
Penn St
B10
21-10
6.265
1.027 (29)
Iowa
B10
20-11
6.165
1.216 (15)
7 Seeds
Virginia
ACC
23-7
6.100
0.826 (58)
Illinois
B10
21-10
6.067
0.928 (45)
Houston
AAC*
23-8
5.808
0.699 (71)
Arizona
P12
21-11
5.709
0.950 (38)
8 Seeds
Providence
BE
19-12
5.614
1.015 (31)
St Mary’s CA
WCC
26-8
5.551
0.439 (91)
LSU
SEC
21-10
5.548
0.858 (55)
Marquette
BE
18-12
5.242
1.177 (19)
9 Seeds
Colorado
P12
21-11
5.208
0.945 (39)
Oklahoma
B12
19-12
5.066
1.324 (3)
Rutgers
B10
20-11
4.985
0.912 (48)
USC
P12
22-9
4.727
0.751 (67)
10 Seeds
Florida
SEC
19-12
4.685
1.076 (27)
Texas Tech
B12
18-13
4.656
0.978 (34)
Indiana
B10
20-12
4.432
1.149 (24)
Utah St
MWC*
26-8
4.202
0.184 (111)
11 Seeds
Arizona St
P12
20-11
4.172
0.930 (42)
ETSU
SC*
30-4
4.006
-0.56 (238)
NC State
ACC
20-12
3.769
0.763 (64)
Wichita St
AAC#
23-8
3.759
0.594 (80)
Richmond
A10#
24-7
3.355
0.274 (106)
12 Seeds
Xavier
BE#
19-13
3.266
1.170 (20)
Cincinnati
AAC#
20-10
3.243
0.792 (62)
Yale
Ivy*
23-7
1.960
-0.27 (161)
SF Austin
SLC*
28-3
1.582
-1.14 (338)
Akron
MAC*
24-7
1.295
-0.29 (164)
13 Seeds
Louisiana Tech
CUSA*
22-8
1.231
-0.43 (201)
Vermont
AEC*
26-7
1.127
-0.58 (245)
New Mexico St
WAC*
25-6
0.877
-0.81 (295)
Liberty
ASC*
30-4
0.230
-1.13 (337)
14 Seeds
Hofstra
CAA*
26-8
0.192
-0.57 (242)
Bradley
MVC*
23-11
0.180
-0.12 (134)
Texas St
SBC*
21-11
0.040
-0.26 (158)
Belmont
OVC*
26-7
-0.04
-0.89 (312)
15 Seeds
N Colorado
BSC*
22-9
-0.07
-0.54 (230)
UC Irvine
BWC*
21-11
-0.14
-0.48 (214)
N Dakota St
SL*
25-8
-0.19
-0.66 (263)
Winthrop
BSo*
24-10
-0.71
-0.92 (315)
16 Seeds
N Kentucky
HL*
23-9
-1.02
-0.74 (277)
Siena
MAAC*
20-10
-1.26
-0.56 (237)
Boston Univ
PL*#
21-13
-2.30
-0.58 (243)
Robert Morris
NEC*#
20-14
-4.21
-0.77 (286)
Prairie View
SWAC*#
19-13
-4.42
-1.08 (330)
NC Central
MEAC*#
18-13
-5.97
-1.23 (346)

There are currently six teams that are ineligible for the 2020 tournament due to various reasons. California Baptist, Detroit, Florida A&M, Georgia Tech, Merrimack, and North Alabama.

Bracketology – 2020 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
UCLA
P12
19-12
3.130
0.694 (72)
Stanford
P12
20-12
3.070
0.623 (76)
Texas
B12
19-12
3.052
1.165 (22)
Memphis
AAC
21-10
3.028
0.570 (83)
2 Seeds
Mississippi St
SEC
20-11
2.985
0.800 (59)
Northern Iowa
MVC*
25-6
2.957
-0.13 (136)
Purdue
B10
16-15
2.954
1.268 (7)
Connecticut
AAC
19-12
2.949
0.596 (79)
3 Seeds
Arkansas
SEC
20-12
2.892
0.843 (56)
Oklahoma St
B12
18-14
2.877
1.302 (4)
Rhode Island
A10
21-9
2.763
0.570 (82)
Tulsa
AAC
21-10
2.669
0.319 (101)
4 Seeds
St Louis
A10
23-8
2.330
0.118 (115)
South Carolina
SEC
18-13
2.165
0.748 (68)
Syracuse
ACC
18-14
2.041
0.798 (60)
Notre Dame
ACC
20-12
2.010
0.571 (81)
5 Seeds
Tennessee
SEC
17-14
1.959
0.971 (35)
Furman
SC
25-7
1.134
-0.49 (217)
SMU
AAC
19-11
1.072
0.365 (99)
Duquesne
A10
21-9
1.031
0.159 (112)
6 Seeds
Boise St
MWC
20-12
0.974
0.395 (96)
St John’s
BE
17-15
0.960
0.887 (50)
UNC Greensboro
SC
23-9
0.827
-0.42 (197)
Oregon St
P12
18-13
0.786
0.608 (77)
7 Seeds
VCU
A10
18-13
0.642
0.443 (89)
North Texas
CUSA*
20-11
0.603
-0.07 (128)
San Francisco
WCC
22-12
0.538
0.316 (102)
Colgate
PL*
25-9
-0.07
-0.66 (264)
8 Seeds
Wright St
HL*
25-7
-0.49
-0.95 (322)
Ark Little Rock
SBC*
21-10
-0.55
-0.21 (149)
E Washington
BSC*
23-8
-0.88
-0.42 (198)
Radford
BSo*
21-11
-2.48
-0.83 (300)