Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 11/8/2021 @ 6:15pm ET.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Seton Hall
Wichita St
Georgia Tech
Syracuse
Colorado St
Creighton
San Francisco
Rutgers
Stanford
SMU
Penn St
Notre Dame

The team listed at the top of the “Last Four In” is the most vulnerable to miss the tournament.

Bracketology – 2022 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Gonzaga
WCC*
0-0
9.249
0 (1)
Michigan
B10*
0-0
7.399
0 (1)
UCLA
P12*
0-0
6.376
0 (1)
Villanova
BE*
0-0
6.352
0 (1)
2 Seeds
Baylor
B12*
0-0
6.278
0 (1)
Kansas
B12
0-0
6.230
0 (1)
Illinois
B10
0-0
5.753
0 (1)
Texas
B12
0-0
5.627
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Purdue
B10
0-0
5.496
0 (1)
Alabama
SEC*
0-0
5.354
0 (1)
Ohio St
B10
0-0
5.333
0 (1)
Texas Tech
B12
0-0
5.246
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Duke
ACC*
0-0
5.214
0 (1)
Memphis
AAC*
0-0
5.172
0 (1)
Houston
AAC
0-0
5.004
0 (1)
USC
P12
0-0
4.962
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
0-0
4.881
0 (1)
Arkansas
SEC
0-0
4.877
0 (1)
Tennessee
SEC
0-0
4.836
0 (1)
BYU
WCC
0-0
4.793
0 (1)
6 Seeds
Iowa
B10
0-0
4.786
0 (1)
Colorado
P12
0-0
4.597
0 (1)
San Diego St
MWC*
0-0
4.568
0 (1)
West Virginia
B12
0-0
4.533
0 (1)
7 Seeds
Kentucky
SEC
0-0
4.494
0 (1)
Florida St
ACC
0-0
4.490
0 (1)
North Carolina
ACC
0-0
4.477
0 (1)
Connecticut
BE
0-0
4.436
0 (1)
8 Seeds
Maryland
B10
0-0
4.425
0 (1)
St Bonaventure
A10*
0-0
4.374
0 (1)
Oregon
P12
0-0
4.315
0 (1)
Michigan St
B10
0-0
4.264
0 (1)
9 Seeds
LSU
SEC
0-0
4.247
0 (1)
Indiana
B10
0-0
4.234
0 (1)
Oklahoma St
B12
0-0
4.221
0 (1)
Wisconsin
B10
0-0
4.167
0 (1)
10 Seeds
Florida
SEC
0-0
4.029
0 (1)
Virginia
ACC
0-0
3.999
0 (1)
Virginia Tech
ACC
0-0
3.992
0 (1)
Louisville
ACC
0-0
3.871
0 (1)
11 Seeds
Oklahoma
B12
0-0
3.843
0 (1)
Clemson
ACC
0-0
3.835
0 (1)
St Mary’s CA
WCC
0-0
3.823
0 (1)
Xavier
BE
0-0
3.794
0 (1)
Syracuse
ACC#
0-0
3.669
0 (1)
Georgia Tech
ACC#
0-0
3.571
0 (1)
12 Seeds
Wichita St
AAC#
0-0
3.427
0 (1)
Seton Hall
BE#
0-0
3.329
0 (1)
Belmont
OVC*
0-0
2.769
0 (1)
WKU
CUSA*
0-0
2.666
0 (1)
13 Seeds
Liberty
ASC*
0-0
2.239
0 (1)
UC Santa Barbara
BWC*
0-0
2.198
0 (1)
Colgate
PL*
0-0
1.899
0 (1)
S Dakota St
SL*
0-0
1.658
0 (1)
14 Seeds
Ohio
MAC*
0-0
1.592
0 (1)
Winthrop
BSo*
0-0
1.177
0 (1)
Georgia St
SBC*
0-0
1.161
0 (1)
Abilene Chr
SLC*
0-0
0.994
0 (1)
15 Seeds
Southern Utah
BSC*
0-0
0.953
0 (1)
Furman
SC*
0-0
0.935
0 (1)
Wright St
HL*
0-0
0.762
0 (1)
Vermont
AEC*
0-0
0.250
0 (1)
16 Seeds
Yale
Ivy*
0-0
0.222
0 (1)
New Mexico St
WAC*
0-0
-0.24
0 (1)
Iona
MAAC*#
0-0
-0.26
0 (1)
Drexel
CAA*#
0-0
-0.37
0 (1)
Prairie View
SWAC*#
0-0
-1.14
0 (1)
Wagner
NEC*#
0-0
-1.37
0 (1)

There are currently nine teams that are ineligible for the 2021 tournament due to various reasons. Auburn, Arizona, Dixie State, California Baptist, Merrimack, Tarleton State, UC San Diego and North Alabama. Also note that the Ivy League canceled their season. This means that there is one extra at-large bid available this year.

Bracketology – 2022 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Colorado St
MWC
0-0
3.328
0 (1)
Creighton
BE
0-0
3.284
0 (1)
San Francisco
WCC
0-0
3.264
0 (1)
Rutgers
B10
0-0
3.263
0 (1)
2 Seeds
Stanford
P12
0-0
3.184
0 (1)
SMU
AAC
0-0
3.123
0 (1)
Penn St
B10
0-0
3.111
0 (1)
Notre Dame
ACC
0-0
3.105
0 (1)
3 Seeds
Arizona St
P12
0-0
3.061
0 (1)
Boise St
MWC
0-0
3.034
0 (1)
St John’s
BE
0-0
3.032
0 (1)
Drake
MVC
0-0
2.962
0 (1)
4 Seeds
Mississippi
SEC
0-0
2.869
0 (1)
NC State
ACC
0-0
2.849
0 (1)
Georgetown
BE
0-0
2.749
0 (1)
Oregon St
P12
0-0
2.703
0 (1)
5 Seeds
Missouri
SEC
0-0
2.690
0 (1)
Utah St
MWC
0-0
2.678
0 (1)
Loy Marymount
WCC
0-0
2.659
0 (1)
Nevada
MWC
0-0
2.648
0 (1)
6 Seeds
Northwestern
B10
0-0
2.609
0 (1)
VCU
A10
0-0
2.602
0 (1)
Richmond
A10
0-0
2.536
0 (1)
UCF
AAC
0-0
2.473
0 (1)
7 Seeds
TCU
B12
0-0
2.438
0 (1)
Butler
BE
0-0
2.369
0 (1)
Utah
P12
0-0
2.358
0 (1)
Missouri St
MVC
0-0
2.339
0 (1)
8 Seeds
Louisiana Tech
CUSA
0-0
2.329
0 (1)
Washington St
P12
0-0
2.320
0 (1)
Mississippi St
SEC
0-0
2.236
0 (1)
Davidson
A10
0-0
2.191
0 (1)