Bracketology


Tournament Bracket

Welcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 2/21/2019.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Alabama
Temple
Clemson
Seton Hall
Utah St
Furman
Butler
Lipscomb
San Francisco
Toledo
Nebraska
UNC Greensboro


Bet College Basketball at Bovada – Our top-rated Sportsbook: Join Bovada
See our detailed review of Bovada here: Bovada Sportsbook Review

Bracketology – 2019 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Duke
ACC*
23-3
16.31
1.231 (8)
Virginia
ACC
23-2
15.59
0.929 (31)
Gonzaga
WCC*
25-2
13.67
0.444 (71)
Tennessee
SEC
24-2
13.63
0.611 (61)
2 Seeds
Michigan St
Big Ten*
22-5
13.50
1.126 (15)
Kentucky
SEC*
22-4
13.34
1.024 (18)
North Carolina
ACC
21-5
13.06
1.205 (10)
Michigan
Big Ten
23-3
12.73
0.819 (45)
3 Seeds
Kansas
Big 12
20-6
12.26
1.468 (1)
Houston
AAC*
25-1
11.61
0.251 (85)
Purdue
Big Ten
19-7
11.45
1.277 (5)
Marquette
Big East
22-4
10.93
0.668 (55)
4 Seeds
Florida St
ACC
21-5
10.15
0.859 (42)
LSU
SEC
21-5
10.04
0.930 (30)
Texas Tech
Big 12*
21-5
9.974
0.655 (56)
Maryland
Big Ten
20-7
9.627
1.048 (16)
5 Seeds
Iowa St
Big 12
19-7
9.545
0.870 (40)
Kansas St
Big 12
20-6
9.411
0.958 (25)
Wisconsin
Big Ten
18-8
9.167
1.223 (9)
Mississippi St
SEC
19-7
8.862
0.981 (23)
6 Seeds
Nevada
MWC*
24-2
8.798
0.027 (111)
Virginia Tech
ACC
20-6
8.693
0.618 (59)
Louisville
ACC
18-9
8.524
1.137 (14)
Villanova
Big East*
20-7
8.219
0.911 (33)
7 Seeds
Iowa
Big Ten
20-6
8.164
0.797 (46)
Auburn
SEC
18-8
7.615
0.727 (52)
Buffalo
MAC*
23-3
7.211
0.161 (99)
Texas
Big 12
15-11
7.059
1.192 (11)
8 Seeds
Baylor
Big 12
17-9
6.979
0.786 (49)
Cincinnati
AAC
21-4
6.976
0.258 (83)
Syracuse
ACC
18-8
6.856
0.792 (47)
Mississippi
SEC
18-8
6.716
0.770 (50)
9 Seeds
Washington
Pac-12*
21-5
6.685
0.550 (65)
Florida
SEC
15-11
6.210
1.254 (7)
Minnesota
Big Ten
17-9
6.156
1.006 (22)
Oklahoma
Big 12
16-10
6.117
1.344 (3)
10 Seeds
Wofford
Southern*
23-4
5.943
-0.28 (176)
NC State
ACC
19-8
5.915
0.430 (73)
St John’s
Big East
19-8
5.905
0.619 (58)
Ohio St
Big Ten
17-9
5.791
0.905 (35)
11 Seeds
TCU
Big 12
17-9
5.740
0.925 (32)
VA Commonwealth
A-10*
20-6
5.612
0.361 (78)
Arizona St
Pac-12
18-8
5.137
0.504 (68)
UCF
AAC
19-5
5.044
0.209 (92)
12 Seeds
Seton Hall
Big East#
16-10
4.690
0.903 (36)
Clemson
ACC#
15-11
4.526
0.948 (29)
Temple
AAC#
19-7
4.519
0.518 (67)
Alabama
SEC#
15-11
4.447
1.047 (17)
Belmont
OVC*
21-4
3.906
-0.37 (211)
New Mexico St
WAC*
23-4
3.677
-0.44 (222)
13 Seeds
Yale
Ivy*
17-4
3.637
-0.19 (150)
Liberty
ASUN*
23-5
3.061
-0.88 (326)
Old Dominion
CUSA*
21-6
2.828
-0.28 (178)
Vermont
AEC*
21-5
2.809
-0.45 (223)
14 Seeds
Hofstra
Colonial*
22-5
2.774
-0.50 (238)
UC Irvine
Big West*
22-5
2.452
-0.27 (173)
N Kentucky
Horizon*
20-7
1.653
-0.64 (266)
S Dakota St
Summit*
21-7
1.606
-0.72 (289)
15 Seeds
Radford
Big South*
18-8
1.408
-0.49 (233)
Montana
Big Sky*
19-6
1.243
-0.76 (301)
Ga Southern
Sun Belt*
16-10
0.852
-0.07 (126)
Abilene Chr
Southland*
21-5
0.410
-1.21 (350)
16 Seeds
Loyola-Chicago
MVC*
17-11
0.192
-0.17 (146)
Bucknell
Patriot*
17-10
-0.20
-0.13 (137)
TX Southern
SWAC*#
14-11
-2.51
-0.52 (244)
Norfolk St
MEAC*#
16-11
-3.61
-1.07 (344)
St Francis PA
NEC*#
14-11
-3.90
-0.69 (280)
Rider
MAAC*#
14-13
-4.00
-0.52 (243)

There is currently one team that is ineligible for the 2019 tournament due to APR. That team is Alabama A&M.


Bet at 5dimes

Bet NCAA Basketball at 5Dimes- Our #2 rated Sportsbook: Join 5Dimes
See our detailed review of 5Dimes here: 5Dimes Sportsbook Review

Bracketology – 2019 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds
Utah St
MWC
21-6
4.293
-0.23 (159)
Furman
Southern
22-5
4.078
-0.50 (237)
Butler
Big East
15-12
3.941
0.960 (24)
Lipscomb
ASUN
21-6
3.802
-0.43 (220)
2 Seeds
San Francisco
WCC
20-6
3.702
-0.13 (135)
Toledo
MAC
21-7
3.598
0.021 (112)
Nebraska
Big Ten
15-12
3.590
0.872 (39)
UNC Greensboro
Southern
22-5
3.581
-0.23 (161)
3 Seeds
South Carolina
SEC
14-12
3.561
0.954 (26)
St Mary’s CA
WCC
17-10
3.386
0.320 (80)
ETSU
Southern
21-7
3.242
-0.26 (172)
Davidson
A-10
19-7
3.227
0.063 (106)
4 Seeds
Georgetown
Big East
16-10
3.171
0.520 (66)
Murray St
OVC
21-4
3.170
-0.71 (285)
Bowling Green
MAC
19-7
2.843
-0.34 (204)
Dayton
A-10
17-9
2.785
0.297 (81)
5 Seeds
Oregon St
Pac-12
16-8
2.769
0.227 (90)
BYU
WCC
18-10
2.728
0.249 (86)
Fresno St
MWC
19-7
2.608
-0.29 (182)
Oregon
Pac-12
15-10
2.386
0.408 (75)
6 Seeds
Memphis
AAC
16-11
2.363
0.433 (72)
Providence
Big East
15-12
2.317
0.706 (53)
Texas St
Sun Belt*
21-5
2.247
-0.59 (256)
South Florida
AAC
17-8
2.029
-0.07 (123)
7 Seeds
Col Charleston
Colonial
21-7
1.990
-0.31 (192)
Utah Valley
WAC
17-8
1.915
-0.31 (193)
Georgia St
Sun Belt
18-8
1.869
0.007 (115)
Kent
MAC
19-7
1.669
-0.30 (189)
8 Seeds
Drake
MVC*
21-7
1.659
-0.29 (185)
Sam Houston St
Southland*
18-9
0.006
-0.83 (318)
Prairie View
SWAC*
13-12
-3.80
-0.56 (250)
Canisius
MAAC*
12-14
-5.65
-0.32 (195)