| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Los Angeles Rams (9-3) | 1.1593 | - | 0.1485 (6) | 1.0084 (1) | 1.5129 (1) | 0.9602 (2) |
| 2. Denver Broncos (10-2) | 0.8822 | +1 | -0.2344 (29) | 0.9722 (2) | 1.2002 (2) | 0.4769 (9) |
| 3. Seattle Seahawks (9-3) | 0.8046 | +2 | -0.0994 (23) | 0.7767 (3) | 1.1909 (3) | 0.4486 (10) |
| 4. Houston Texans (7-5) | 0.6413 | +4 | 0.2574 (3) | 0.6479 (6) | 1.0575 (4) | 0.2206 (12) |
| 5. Green Bay Packers (8-3-1) | 0.6171 | +5 | -0.2117 (28) | 0.4042 (11) | 0.6360 (8) | 0.8131 (6) |
| 6. Philadelphia Eagles (8-4) | 0.5985 | -4 | 0.1702 (5) | 0.5372 (8) | 0.3576 (13) | 0.9025 (4) |
| 7. Buffalo Bills (8-4) | 0.5965 | +2 | -0.1127 (24) | 0.3885 (12) | 0.5101 (10) | 0.8927 (5) |
| 8. Detroit Lions (7-5) | 0.5229 | -2 | -0.0179 (19) | 0.1348 (16) | 0.4914 (11) | 0.9441 (3) |
| 9. New England Patriots (11-2) | 0.4984 | +2 | -0.5171 (32) | 0.6723 (5) | 0.7370 (7) | 0.0875 (13) |
| 10. Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) | 0.4880 | -3 | 0.1212 (8) | 0.0606 (17) | 0.4257 (12) | 0.9793 (1) |
| 11. San Francisco 49ers (9-4) | 0.4653 | +1 | 0.0061 (16) | 0.6853 (4) | 0.7380 (6) | -0.0260 (16) |
| 12. Indianapolis Colts (8-4) | 0.4448 | -8 | -0.1384 (27) | 0.3224 (13) | 0.5780 (9) | 0.4355 (11) |
| 13. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4) | 0.4399 | - | 0.0598 (13) | 0.6016 (7) | 0.7685 (5) | -0.0491 (17) |
| 14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5) | 0.2719 | +1 | 0.2067 (4) | 0.4274 (10) | 0.3175 (14) | 0.0716 (14) |
| 15. Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) | 0.2202 | +1 | -0.2707 (30) | 0.1497 (14) | 0.0114 (16) | 0.5003 (8) |
| 16. Baltimore Ravens (6-6) | 0.1986 | -2 | -0.0255 (20) | -0.0344 (20) | -0.1144 (19) | 0.7452 (7) |
| 17. Chicago Bears (9-3) | 0.1513 | +1 | -0.2779 (31) | 0.5062 (9) | 0.1798 (15) | -0.2316 (22) |
| 18. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-6) | 0.0028 | -1 | 0.0112 (15) | 0.0237 (19) | -0.0836 (18) | 0.0684 (15) |
| 19. Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) | -0.0271 | +1 | -0.0670 (22) | 0.0550 (18) | -0.0338 (17) | -0.1025 (18) |
| 20. Carolina Panthers (7-6) | -0.2891 | +1 | 0.0014 (17) | 0.1430 (15) | -0.1739 (20) | -0.8372 (28) |
| 21. Minnesota Vikings (4-8) | -0.3332 | -2 | 0.1131 (10) | -0.3728 (22) | -0.5048 (22) | -0.1231 (19) |
| 22. Miami Dolphins (5-7) | -0.4301 | +2 | -0.1201 (25) | -0.3362 (21) | -0.4725 (21) | -0.4829 (24) |
| 23. Atlanta Falcons (4-8) | -0.4938 | - | -0.1209 (26) | -0.5405 (24) | -0.7525 (25) | -0.1900 (20) |
| 24. Arizona Cardinals (3-9) | -0.5024 | -2 | 0.1449 (7) | -0.5956 (25) | -0.5676 (23) | -0.3455 (23) |
| 25. Washington Commanders (3-9) | -0.5761 | - | 0.0741 (12) | -0.7843 (27) | -0.7167 (24) | -0.2290 (21) |
| 26. Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) | -0.5901 | +1 | 0.1081 (11) | -0.3781 (23) | -0.7596 (26) | -0.6345 (26) |
| 27. Cleveland Browns (3-9) | -0.8264 | +3 | -0.0602 (21) | -0.8106 (28) | -0.7768 (27) | -0.8944 (29) |
| 28. New York Giants (2-11) | -0.8318 | -2 | 0.2683 (2) | -0.8539 (29) | -0.8453 (28) | -0.7986 (27) |
| 29. New York Jets (3-9) | -0.8588 | +2 | -0.0172 (18) | -0.6812 (26) | -0.9557 (29) | -0.9422 (31) |
| 30. New Orleans Saints (2-10) | -0.9516 | -2 | 0.1167 (9) | -0.9011 (30) | -1.0356 (30) | -0.9210 (30) |
| 31. Las Vegas Raiders (2-10) | -1.0140 | -2 | 0.0507 (14) | -1.0472 (31) | -1.4117 (31) | -0.5862 (25) |
| 32. Tennessee Titans (1-11) | -1.3072 | - | 0.3884 (1) | -1.2405 (32) | -1.5319 (32) | -1.1532 (32) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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