| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Los Angeles Rams (11-3) | 1.2477 | - | 0.1590 (6) | 1.0769 (1) | 1.5977 (1) | 1.0721 (1) |
| 2. Seattle Seahawks (11-3) | 0.9880 | - | -0.0360 (20) | 0.9550 (3) | 1.3799 (2) | 0.6320 (8) |
| 3. Denver Broncos (12-2) | 0.9534 | - | -0.2799 (31) | 1.0612 (2) | 1.2964 (3) | 0.5056 (9) |
| 4. Houston Texans (9-5) | 0.7705 | - | 0.2614 (3) | 0.7839 (4) | 1.2203 (4) | 0.3097 (11) |
| 5. Buffalo Bills (10-4) | 0.6613 | +1 | -0.1172 (25) | 0.5744 (7) | 0.6184 (8) | 0.7931 (5) |
| 6. Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) | 0.6153 | -1 | -0.1385 (27) | 0.4094 (9) | 0.6485 (7) | 0.7900 (6) |
| 7. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) | 0.6051 | - | 0.0365 (14) | 0.7598 (5) | 1.0163 (5) | 0.0410 (16) |
| 8. San Francisco 49ers (10-4) | 0.5136 | +3 | -0.0446 (22) | 0.7269 (6) | 0.7542 (6) | 0.0612 (15) |
| 9. Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) | 0.4917 | +1 | 0.0452 (11) | 0.3229 (12) | 0.2280 (14) | 0.9257 (3) |
| 10. Detroit Lions (8-6) | 0.4608 | -2 | 0.0115 (15) | 0.0893 (15) | 0.4658 (10) | 0.8288 (4) |
| 11. New England Patriots (11-3) | 0.3870 | -2 | -0.4384 (32) | 0.5080 (8) | 0.5634 (9) | 0.0907 (14) |
| 12. Los Angeles Chargers (10-4) | 0.3601 | +2 | -0.1664 (28) | 0.4010 (10) | 0.2374 (12) | 0.4431 (10) |
| 13. Kansas City Chiefs (6-8) | 0.3466 | -1 | 0.1626 (5) | -0.1405 (19) | 0.1949 (15) | 0.9864 (2) |
| 14. Indianapolis Colts (8-6) | 0.3238 | -1 | 0.0432 (13) | 0.2367 (13) | 0.4369 (11) | 0.2987 (12) |
| 15. Baltimore Ravens (7-7) | 0.1788 | +1 | -0.0785 (23) | -0.0849 (18) | -0.0598 (18) | 0.6816 (7) |
| 16. Chicago Bears (10-4) | 0.1444 | +1 | -0.2622 (30) | 0.3955 (11) | 0.2312 (13) | -0.1929 (19) |
| 17. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6) | 0.1195 | +1 | -0.0150 (16) | 0.2054 (14) | 0.1234 (16) | 0.0302 (17) |
| 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7) | 0.0793 | -3 | 0.1230 (9) | 0.0668 (16) | 0.0296 (17) | 0.1416 (13) |
| 19. Minnesota Vikings (6-8) | -0.1812 | +1 | 0.0445 (12) | -0.1755 (20) | -0.1701 (19) | -0.1986 (20) |
| 20. Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1) | -0.2251 | -1 | -0.0974 (24) | -0.3081 (22) | -0.3632 (21) | -0.0046 (18) |
| 21. Carolina Panthers (7-7) | -0.3204 | - | -0.0288 (19) | 0.0486 (17) | -0.2167 (20) | -0.7942 (28) |
| 22. Miami Dolphins (6-8) | -0.4088 | - | -0.1746 (29) | -0.2775 (21) | -0.4243 (22) | -0.5258 (24) |
| 23. Atlanta Falcons (5-9) | -0.4163 | +1 | -0.0404 (21) | -0.3454 (23) | -0.6063 (23) | -0.2985 (22) |
| 24. Arizona Cardinals (3-11) | -0.5528 | -1 | 0.3052 (2) | -0.6332 (26) | -0.6407 (24) | -0.3861 (23) |
| 25. Cincinnati Bengals (4-10) | -0.6234 | - | 0.1579 (7) | -0.5188 (25) | -0.8161 (26) | -0.5371 (25) |
| 26. Washington Commanders (4-10) | -0.6339 | - | -0.0219 (17) | -0.7387 (27) | -0.8898 (27) | -0.2752 (21) |
| 27. New Orleans Saints (4-10) | -0.6811 | - | 0.0834 (10) | -0.4266 (24) | -0.6829 (25) | -0.9358 (30) |
| 28. New York Giants (2-12) | -0.9134 | - | 0.1851 (4) | -1.0129 (30) | -1.0366 (29) | -0.6936 (27) |
| 29. Cleveland Browns (3-11) | -0.9811 | - | -0.1378 (26) | -1.0219 (31) | -0.9949 (28) | -0.9296 (29) |
| 30. New York Jets (3-11) | -1.0513 | - | -0.0285 (18) | -0.8609 (28) | -1.2842 (31) | -1.0120 (31) |
| 31. Las Vegas Raiders (2-12) | -1.1171 | - | 0.1386 (8) | -1.1337 (32) | -1.5725 (32) | -0.6485 (26) |
| 32. Tennessee Titans (2-12) | -1.1453 | - | 0.3280 (1) | -0.9674 (29) | -1.2682 (30) | -1.2036 (32) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NFL Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NFL Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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