Half Point Values for NFL Spreads

 in Pro Football by

Continuing our analysis of point values in different sports, we will now cover half point values toward NFL spreads.

Readers can find other blogs of interest at NFL half point values for totals and half point values for spreads in college football.

Half Point Value Tables

Below we have broken the tables into two for the sake of allowing users to read the tables with a little more ease. The first table covers the point spreads in games that are expected to be close. The second table will cover games that have a wider spreads and aren’t expected to be as close.

Half Point Values for Small NFL Spreads

Here is the table for spreads between 0 and 9.5…

Spread Push Prob 0.5 Pt Down 0.5 Point Up 1 Pt Down 1 Point Up 1.5 Pt Down 1.5 Point Up 2 Pt Down 2 Point Up
0 0.3% 0.6 0.6 6.53 6.53 12.43 12.43 19.28 19.28
0.5 0% 0.6 5.88 1.21 11.76 7.19 18.54 13.11 24.61
1 2.8% 5.76 5.76 6.41 12.05 7.03 17.99 13.49 39.87
1.5 0% 5.93 5.77 11.86 11.53 12.57 31.49 13.21 49.38
2 2.75% 5.66 5.66 12.05 24.13 18.11 41.62 18.87 47.24
2.5 0% 5.82 16.92 11.64 33.85 18.61 38.99 24.85 42.83
3 7.3% 15.75 15.75 22.98 19.87 29.23 23.44 37.94 30.34
3.5 0% 17.1 3.29 34.19 6.59 43.34 12.08 50.17 17.23
4 1.61% 3.27 3.27 21.08 8.55 38.33 13.66 47.86 23.23
4.5 0% 3.32 5.02 6.65 10.05 25.4 19.15 42.99 27.42
5 2.41% 4.95 4.95 8.49 13.48 11.87 21.61 31.92 42.02
5.5 0% 5.07 7.92 10.14 15.83 13.96 34.69 17.43 50.97
6 3.7% 7.68 7.68 13.31 24.62 18.54 40.35 22.78 46.94
6.5 0% 7.99 15.06 15.98 30.11 22.3 35.96 27.75 40.45
7 6.6% 14.13 14.13 23.86 18.93 32.39 23.13 40.11 28.15
7.5 0% 15.21 3.91 30.41 7.83 42.46 11.91 51.69 15.7
8 1.9% 3.87 3.87 19.86 7.76 35.26 11.51 47.91 22.73
8.5 0% 3.95 3.67 7.9 7.34 24.89 17.91 40.64 27.76
9 1.79% 3.64 3.64 7.77 13.74 11.76 23.49 29.56 28.53
9.5 0% 3.7 9.56 7.41 19.12 11.77 23.88 15.84 27.88

Half Point Values for Large NFL Spreads

Here is the table for spreads between 10 and 21.5…

Spread Push Prob 0.5 Pt Down 0.5 Point Up 1 Pt Down 1 Point Up 1.5 Pt Down 1.5 Point Up 2 Pt Down 2 Point Up
10 4.4% 9.21 9.21 13.41 13.41 17.25 17.25 22.21 20.94
10.5 0% 9.65 3.67 19.3 7.34 24.12 10.56 28.16 13.56
11 1.79% 3.64 3.64 13.74 6.71 23.49 9.68 28.53 13.91
11.5 0% 3.7 2.92 7.41 5.83 18.09 9.83 28.04 13.61
12 1.43% 2.9 2.9 6.73 6.76 10.46 10.52 21.52 26.19
12.5 0% 2.94 3.7 5.88 7.4 9.89 22.37 13.67 36.3
13 1.8% 3.67 3.67 6.75 17.96 9.72 31.74 13.91 34.57
13.5 0% 3.73 13.5 7.47 27.01 10.72 29.67 13.75 31.77
14 6% 12.77 12.77 17.22 15 21.16 16.98 25.05 23.85
14.5 0% 13.64 1.86 27.27 3.72 32.65 9.42 36.88 14.91
15 0.92% 1.86 1.86 15.76 7.45 29.41 12.94 34.88 23.54
15.5 0% 1.88 5.44 3.76 10.87 18.07 21.17 31.86 30.45
16 2.6% 5.34 5.34 7.35 14.93 9.27 24.04 24.65 32.5
16.5 0% 5.49 8.85 10.97 17.7 13.15 25.48 15.12 32.1
17 4.1% 8.55 8.55 14.72 15.47 20.4 21.85 22.85 27.99
17.5 0% 8.93 6.1 17.86 12.2 24.88 17.6 30.83 22.41
18 2.9% 5.97 5.97 15.66 10.96 24.79 15.66 32.4 20.36
18.5 0% 6.16 4.56 12.31 9.12 22.92 13.42 32.37 17.36
19 2.2% 4.5 4.5 11.03 8.56 17.27 12.44 28.53 27.12
19.5 0% 4.6 3.79 9.21 7.59 16.19 21.27 22.59 33.99
20 1.84% 3.76 3.76 8.58 16.8 13.23 29.38 20.56 32.73
20.5 0% 3.83 12.32 7.66 24.63 12.76 27.79 17.51 30.33
21 5.53% 11.71 11.71 16.2 14.4 20.23 16.8 26.24 21.14
21.5 0% 12.44 2.27 24.87 4.54 30.22 8.2 34.51 11.69

Comparing Tables With Different Values

Although our site does this automatically with our implied margin functionality, it’s worth understanding how these calculations work. Take the following example from a game that is occurring this week…
Spreads with Different Data
From the example above, it’s pretty clear that the line from Stations is better for the away team and the line from Westgate is better for the home team. But how do we compare those numbers to each other? To convert the Stations line, we would look up Spread=0 and 1.5 points down to get the matching line. Our tables says that it would cost 12.43 cents to go from 0 to 1.5. Thus, the equivalent line to 0 -110 would be -1.5 +102. Conversely, if we want to convert the Westgate home line of 1.5 -110 into a money line, then we’d go to the table and find Spread=1.5 and down 1.5 points. Our tables show the conversion is worth 12.57 cents, and thus, the line would be 0 +103.