Flamengo at Gremio

Updated

Flamengo

49.7%22.7%27.6%
Flamengo WinDrawGremio Win
1.84Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Internacional+105
W 0-1 vs Corinthians-110
W 4-0 at Sao Paulo+165
W 0-3 vs Bahia-180
T 2-2 at Chapecoense-280
Gremio
Money Line
W 3-1 at Chapecoense-190
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+145
L 0-1 at Internacional+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+134+270+270-+248+270+270+273.0
Gremio+196+100-127-+104-127+104+116.0
Draw+240+260+255-+254+255+260+272.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+275----+290+290+273.0
Gremio-105-----105-105+116.0
Draw+265----+255+255+272.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 50.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Flamengo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Flamengo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 50.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Flamengo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 40.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½-120u2½-112u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-115u2½-110u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 223.45%
Exactly 415.94%
Exactly 64.33%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.42%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.10%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 015.92%
Exactly 129.26%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.46%
Exactly 47.56%
Exactly 52.78%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.65%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 042.71%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.45%
Exactly 34.38%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 062.40%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals32.43%
Wins by 3+ goals15.06%
Wins by 4+ goals5.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.83%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals7.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals17.37%
Wins by 3 goals9.30%
Wins by 4 goals3.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal13.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.82%22.18%
2.554.37%45.63%
3.532.05%67.95%
4.516.11%83.89%
5.57.01%92.99%
6.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.08%15.92%
1.554.82%45.18%
2.527.94%72.06%
3.511.48%88.52%
4.53.92%96.08%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.35%26.65%
1.538.10%61.90%
2.514.80%85.20%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Gremio
Score01234
0
5.75%
5.86%
2.98%
1.01%
0.26%
1
10.57%
10.76%
5.48%
1.86%
0.47%
2
9.71%
9.89%
5.03%
1.71%
0.44%
3
5.94%
6.05%
3.08%
1.05%
0.27%
4
2.73%
2.78%
1.42%
0.48%
0.12%
5
1.00%
1.02%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
Flamengo
1-010.57%
2-09.71%
2-19.89%
3-05.94%
3-16.05%
3-23.08%
4-02.73%
4-12.78%
4-21.42%
4-30.48%
5-01.00%
5-11.02%
5-20.52%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.75%
1-110.76%
2-25.03%
3-31.05%
4-40.12%
Gremio
0-15.86%
0-22.98%
1-25.48%
0-31.01%
1-31.86%
2-31.71%
0-40.26%
1-40.47%
2-40.44%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Gremio
Score0123
0
26.65%
12.57%
2.96%
0.47%
1
22.67%
10.69%
2.52%
0.40%
2
9.64%
4.55%
1.07%
0.17%
3
2.73%
1.29%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.58%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-022.67%
2-09.64%
2-14.55%
3-02.73%
3-11.29%
3-20.30%
4-00.58%
4-10.27%
Draw
0-026.65%
1-110.69%
2-21.07%
Gremio
0-112.57%
0-22.96%
1-22.52%
0-30.47%
1-30.40%
2-30.17%
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