Palmeiras at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Palmeiras

34.0%31.7%34.3%
Palmeiras WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.95Projected Goals 0.96
0Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 3-1 at Cuiaba+400
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+380
L 0-1 at Fortaleza+185
L 2-0 vs Sao Paulo+110
L 1-2 at Fluminense+140
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135
L 0-1 at Corinthians+300
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+400
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+600
L 1-2 at Internacional+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+217+675+570+763+702+570+763+705.6
Athletico Paranaense+122-235-227-232-252-227-227-200.2
Draw+241+330+335+347+356+335+356+378.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+265----+550+550+705.6
Athletico Paranaense-105-----210-210-200.2
Draw+280----+360+360+378.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 60.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 60.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-102o2½-107o2½+101-o2½-107o2½+101o2½+104
Underu2½-122u2½-118u2½-113u2½-116-u2½-113u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.9%
 
No62.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.75%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 48.25%
Exactly 61.01%
 
Exactly 128.23%
Exactly 317.23%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 038.61%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.21%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 041.23%
Exactly 216.18%
Exactly 41.06%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.05%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals12.31%
Wins by 3+ goals3.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals12.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal21.52%
Wins by 2 goals8.97%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal21.76%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.25%14.75%
1.557.02%42.98%
2.530.00%70.00%
3.512.77%87.23%
4.54.52%95.48%
5.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.39%38.61%
1.524.65%75.35%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.79%38.21%
1.525.03%74.97%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.77%41.23%
1.522.24%77.76%
2.56.06%93.94%
3.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
14.75%
14.19%
6.83%
2.19%
0.53%
1
14.04%
13.51%
6.50%
2.08%
0.50%
2
6.68%
6.43%
3.09%
0.99%
0.24%
3
2.12%
2.04%
0.98%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.50%
0.49%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
Palmeiras
1-014.04%
2-06.68%
2-16.43%
3-02.12%
3-12.04%
3-20.98%
4-00.50%
4-10.49%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.75%
1-113.51%
2-23.09%
3-30.31%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.19%
0-26.83%
1-26.50%
0-32.19%
1-32.08%
2-30.99%
0-40.53%
1-40.50%
2-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
41.23%
18.37%
4.09%
0.61%
1
18.16%
8.09%
1.80%
0.27%
2
4.00%
1.78%
0.40%
0.06%
3
0.59%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-018.16%
2-04.00%
2-11.78%
3-00.59%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-041.23%
1-18.09%
2-20.40%
Athletico Paranaense
0-118.37%
0-24.09%
1-21.80%
0-30.61%
1-30.27%