Fluminense at Santos

Updated

Fluminense

34.9%30.6%34.5%
Fluminense WinDrawSantos Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.01
3Final Score 0

Santos

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
W 0-1 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Flamengo
T 0-0 at Internacional
L 0-1 at Bahia
Santos
Money Line
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-0 at Goias
T 0-0 vs Cuiaba
W 2-1 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+220+204+215+200+200+200+204+214.8
Santos+125+149+135+146+146+146+149+158.2
Draw+240+223+225+223+223+223+225+239.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+214.8
Santos-----+158.2
Draw-----+239.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 20.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+116o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-104
Underu2¼+102u2½-136u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-106u2¼-106u2½-136u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.12%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.30%
Exactly 61.28%
 
Exactly 126.65%
Exactly 318.32%
Exactly 53.78%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 036.07%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.05%
Exactly 217.27%
Exactly 41.27%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 35.41%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 062.37%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.95%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 062.61%
Exactly 129.32%
Exactly 26.86%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals13.30%
Wins by 3+ goals3.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals13.04%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Santos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal21.57%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals2.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal21.39%
Wins by 2 goals9.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.88%13.12%
1.560.23%39.77%
2.533.17%66.83%
3.514.85%85.15%
4.55.55%94.45%
5.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.93%36.07%
1.527.15%72.85%
2.58.40%91.60%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.84%73.16%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.95%39.05%
1.524.23%75.77%
2.56.97%93.03%
3.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Santos
Score012345
0
13.12%
13.27%
6.71%
2.26%
0.57%
0.12%
1
13.38%
13.53%
6.84%
2.31%
0.58%
0.12%
2
6.82%
6.90%
3.49%
1.18%
0.30%
0.06%
3
2.32%
2.34%
1.19%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.59%
0.60%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-013.38%
2-06.82%
2-16.90%
3-02.32%
3-12.34%
3-21.19%
4-00.59%
4-10.60%
4-20.30%
4-30.10%
5-00.12%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-013.12%
1-113.53%
2-23.49%
3-30.40%
Santos
0-113.27%
0-26.71%
1-26.84%
0-32.26%
1-32.31%
2-31.18%
0-40.57%
1-40.58%
2-40.30%
3-40.10%
0-50.12%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Santos
Score0123
0
39.05%
18.28%
4.28%
0.67%
1
18.44%
8.63%
2.02%
0.32%
2
4.35%
2.04%
0.48%
0.07%
3
0.68%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
Fluminense
1-018.44%
2-04.35%
2-12.04%
3-00.68%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-039.05%
1-18.63%
2-20.48%
Santos
0-118.28%
0-24.28%
1-22.02%
0-30.67%
1-30.32%