Atletico Mineiro at Flamengo

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

24.6%25.1%50.3%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFlamengo Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.58
3Final Score 0

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Gremio
W 1-2 vs Goias
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 at America (MG)
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
Flamengo
Money Line
W 3-0 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Fluminense
W 0-3 vs Palmeiras
W 2-0 at Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+300+418+370+420+420+420+420+446.2
Flamengo-105-134-115-143-143-143-115-127.4
Draw+250+266+250+271+271+271+271+289.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+446.2
Flamengo------127.4
Draw-----+289.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%
Flamengo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Flamengo: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+115o2¼-104o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-104o2¼-105
Underu2¼-115u2½-135u2¼-110u2¼-104u2¼-104u2¼-104u2½-135u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.35%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.22%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.18%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.43%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 035.82%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 020.52%
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 313.59%
Exactly 45.38%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.86%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 062.16%
Exactly 129.55%
Exactly 27.02%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 048.03%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 212.92%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals8.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals26.22%
Wins by 3+ goals10.87%
Wins by 4+ goals3.68%
Wins by 5+ goals1.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Flamengo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal15.59%
Wins by 2 goals6.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.05%
Wins by 2 goals15.35%
Wins by 3 goals7.20%
Wins by 4 goals2.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.65%7.35%
1.573.47%26.53%
2.548.43%51.57%
3.526.63%73.37%
4.512.41%87.59%
5.54.98%95.02%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.18%35.82%
1.527.41%72.59%
2.58.53%91.47%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.48%20.52%
1.546.99%53.01%
2.521.25%78.75%
3.57.66%92.34%
4.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.14%29.86%
1.534.05%65.95%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Flamengo
Score012345
0
7.35%
11.64%
9.22%
4.87%
1.93%
0.61%
1
7.54%
11.95%
9.46%
5.00%
1.98%
0.63%
2
3.87%
6.14%
4.86%
2.57%
1.02%
0.32%
3
1.33%
2.10%
1.66%
0.88%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.34%
0.54%
0.43%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Atletico Mineiro
1-07.54%
2-03.87%
2-16.14%
3-01.33%
3-12.10%
3-21.66%
4-00.34%
4-10.54%
4-20.43%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.35%
1-111.95%
2-24.86%
3-30.88%
Flamengo
0-111.64%
0-29.22%
1-29.46%
0-34.87%
1-35.00%
2-32.57%
0-41.93%
1-41.98%
2-41.02%
3-40.35%
0-50.61%
1-50.63%
2-50.32%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Flamengo
Score01234
0
29.86%
21.90%
8.03%
1.96%
0.36%
1
14.19%
10.41%
3.82%
0.93%
0.17%
2
3.37%
2.47%
0.91%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.53%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Mineiro
1-014.19%
2-03.37%
2-12.47%
3-00.53%
3-10.39%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.86%
1-110.41%
2-20.91%
Flamengo
0-121.90%
0-28.03%
1-23.82%
0-31.96%
1-30.93%
2-30.22%
0-40.36%
1-40.17%