Chapecoense at Santos

Updated

Chapecoense

15.7%23.6%60.7%
WinDrawSantos Win
0.73Projected Goals 1.71

Santos

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
L 1-2 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1 at Mirassol
L 2-1 vs Bragantino
Santos
Money Line
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-3 vs Vitoria
L 2-3 at Gremio
L 3-0 vs Coritiba
W 0-2 vs Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+675-+625+675-+675+675+713.7
Santos-233--230-233--233-230-199.8
Draw+352-+360+352-+352+360+374.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense-----+713.7
Santos------199.8
Draw-----+374.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 30.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chapecoense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-106-o2½-134o2¾-106-o2¾-106o2½-134o2¾+104
Underu2¾-114-u2½+112u2¾-114-u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.74%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.85%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.30%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 048.08%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 212.89%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 018.18%
Exactly 130.99%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 315.02%
Exactly 46.40%
Exactly 52.18%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.35%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 071.24%
Exactly 124.16%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 045.41%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 214.15%
Exactly 33.72%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals4.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.10%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals34.31%
Wins by 3+ goals15.42%
Wins by 4+ goals5.64%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Santos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal11.31%
Wins by 2 goals3.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.10%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal26.35%
Wins by 2 goals18.89%
Wins by 3 goals9.78%
Wins by 4 goals3.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.26%8.74%
1.569.96%30.04%
2.544.00%56.00%
3.522.91%77.09%
4.510.06%89.94%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.92%48.08%
1.516.71%83.29%
2.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.82%18.18%
1.550.83%49.17%
2.524.41%75.59%
3.59.40%90.60%
4.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.65%32.35%
1.531.14%68.86%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Santos
Score012345
0
8.74%
14.90%
12.70%
7.22%
3.08%
1.05%
1
6.40%
10.91%
9.30%
5.29%
2.25%
0.77%
2
2.34%
4.00%
3.41%
1.94%
0.83%
0.28%
3
0.57%
0.98%
0.83%
0.47%
0.20%
0.07%
4
0.10%
0.18%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Chapecoense
1-06.40%
2-02.34%
2-14.00%
3-00.57%
3-10.98%
3-20.83%
4-00.10%
4-10.18%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-08.74%
1-110.91%
2-23.41%
3-30.47%
Santos
0-114.90%
0-212.70%
1-29.30%
0-37.22%
1-35.29%
2-31.94%
0-43.08%
1-42.25%
2-40.83%
3-40.20%
0-51.05%
1-50.77%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Santos
Score01234
0
32.35%
25.54%
10.08%
2.65%
0.52%
1
10.97%
8.66%
3.42%
0.90%
0.18%
2
1.86%
1.47%
0.58%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.21%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Chapecoense
1-010.97%
2-01.86%
2-11.47%
3-00.21%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-032.35%
1-18.66%
2-20.58%
Santos
0-125.54%
0-210.08%
1-23.42%
0-32.65%
1-30.90%
2-30.15%
0-40.52%
1-40.18%
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